RBs vs Arizona Cardinals
As of Week 2 · through 1 game · PPR
RB1 = the highest-scoring RB against Cardinals in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.
| Wk | Team | Player | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  LAC | Omarion Hampton | 12 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.3 |
| Average | 12.0 | 43.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.3 | ||
| Median | 12.0 | 43.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.3 | ||
| High | 12 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.3 | ||
| Low | 12 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.3 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How George Holani should do vs the CardinalsSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Cardinals, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game George Holani has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Cardinals opponents to line them up with: the best RB they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot George Holani will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Cardinals avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus George Holani's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than George Holani usually produces.
Projected is George Holani's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Cardinals were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NE | 8 | 29 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.9 |
| 2 | ARI | 4 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2.5 |
| Holani avg | 6.0 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7 | |
| Cardinals All avg | 8.0 | 26.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6 | |
| Difference | +2.0 | +5.0 | +0.5 | -1.0 | -0.5 | -1.0 | +0.0 | +1.9 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Holani averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
Prediction & chance to scoreGeorge Holani vs the Cardinals
Prediction for George Holani
Nobody knows which slot George Holani will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Cardinals.
I predict about 2.7 points for George Holani if playing as a RB2. George Holani has averaged 2.9 over 1 game, and the Cardinals have given up 0.9 to RB2s (-83% vs the league average of 5.2).
How this projection is built
1. The player. George Holani scored: Wk 1 2.9. Average 2.9; weighted toward recent games it is 3.4.
2. The defense. Over 1 game, the Cardinals allowed 0.9 points to their opponent's RB2. The league average for that slot is 5.2, so that is -83%.
3. Trusting small samples less. With 1 defensive game, only 25% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a -21% adjustment (x0.79).
4. Result. 3.4 x 0.79 = 2.7. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.
It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.
Chance to score
Type a point total to see how likely George Holani is to reach it as a RB2.
Why this percentage?
The projection (2.7) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 1.6 points, leaning on George Holani's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical RB swings before that).
Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 3.
With only 1 game of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- RB1s have averaged 12.0 carries, 43.0 rushing yards and 0.0 receptions against the Cardinals across 1 game.
- The Cardinals allow 8.3 PPR points to RB1s, -53% versus the league average of 17.5 (ranked 27 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a tough matchup.
- RB1s scored a touchdown in 1 of 1 games (100%).
- Small sample: only 1 game so far. Treat these numbers as directional, not settled.
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.