RBs vs Detroit Lions
As of Week 2 · through 1 game · PPR
Showing every RB who had a role in each game.
| Wk | Team | Player | Slot | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  NO | Travis Etienne | RB1 | 9 | 46 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 0 | 14.8 |
| Kendre Miller | RB2 | 9 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9.0 | ||
| CJ Donaldson | RB3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 1.2 | ||
| Average | 6.7 | 26.7 | 0.3 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 8.3 | |||
| Median | 9.0 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | |||
| High | 9 | 46 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 0 | 14.8 | |||
| Low | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 1.2 | |||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How Frank Gore Jr. should do vs the LionsSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Lions, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game Frank Gore Jr. has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Lions opponents to line them up with: the best RB they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Frank Gore Jr. will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Lions avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Frank Gore Jr.'s own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Frank Gore Jr. usually produces.
Projected is Frank Gore Jr.'s recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Lions were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HOU | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Jr. avg | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | |
| Lions All avg | 6.7 | 26.7 | 0.3 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 8.3 | |
| Difference | +5.7 | +23.7 | +0.3 | +3.7 | +2.7 | +10.0 | +0.0 | +8.0 | |
| Projected | 1.2 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Jr. averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
Start / Sit · Frank Gore Jr.Low confidence · 0.4 proj ptsSit
Frank Gore Jr. usually plays as the team's RB2, so the verdict uses the RB2 numbers, not the slot selected above.
- Frank Gore Jr. averages 0.3 PPR points over 1 game (recent-weighted 0.3) and has played as the team's RB2.
- The Lions have allowed 9.0 points to RB2s over 1 game (+89% vs league). The model applies 25% of that gap because the sample is small, giving a +22% adjustment.
- Projection: 0.4 points.
- For reference, a typical weekly starter-level RB scores about 12.2 and a top-tier one about 20.0.
- Confidence is low: too few games for either the player or the defense. Use this as a rough lean, not a lock.
- A statistical model from box scores, Vegas lines, weather and injury tags. It cannot see role changes or in-game events.
Prediction & chance to scoreFrank Gore Jr. vs the Lions
Prediction for Frank Gore Jr.
Nobody knows which slot Frank Gore Jr. will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Lions.
I predict about 0.4 points for Frank Gore Jr. if playing as a RB2. Frank Gore Jr. has averaged 0.3 over 1 game, and the Lions have given up 9.0 to RB2s (+73% vs the league average of 5.2).
How this projection is built
1. The player. Frank Gore Jr. scored: Wk 1 0.3. Average 0.3; weighted toward recent games it is 0.3.
2. The defense. Over 1 game, the Lions allowed 9.0 points to their opponent's RB2. The league average for that slot is 5.2, so that is +73%.
3. Trusting small samples less. With 1 defensive game, only 25% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a +18% adjustment (x1.18).
4. Result. 0.3 x 1.18 = 0.4. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.
It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.
Chance to score
Type a point total to see how likely Frank Gore Jr. is to reach it as a RB2.
Why this percentage?
The projection (0.4) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 0.2 points, leaning on Frank Gore Jr.'s own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical RB swings before that).
Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 0.
With only 1 game of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- all RBs have averaged 6.7 carries, 26.7 rushing yards and 2.7 receptions per player-game against the Lions across 1 game.
- The Lions allow 25.0 PPR points to the position per game, +8% versus the league average of 23.2 (ranked 13 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a near-average matchup.
- Outlier: Week 1, CJ Donaldson (1.2 pts, 2 car) sits far below the other games and drags the averages down. Average with it vs without it: pts 8.3 vs 11.9; car 6.7 vs 9.0. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- Outlier: Week 1, Travis Etienne (14.8 pts) sits far above the other games and pulls the averages up. Average with it vs without it: pts 8.3 vs 5.1. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- 1 of 3 player-games reached 10+ PPR points. Scores range from 1.2 to 14.8 (median 9.0).
- all RBs scored a touchdown in 1 of 3 player-games (33%).
- Small sample: only 1 game so far. Treat these numbers as directional, not settled.
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.