SportsProof
Jonah Coleman
JAX

RBs vs Jacksonville Jaguars

As of Week 2 · through 1 game · PPR

Jonah Coleman
Comparing
Jonah Coleman vs the Jaguars
Projection 13.0 pts · 1 game played this season
Start

RB1 = the highest-scoring RB against Jaguars in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.

RB1 avg pts
7.0
PPR per game
Rank
30
of 32 (1 = most allowed)
vs League
-60%
lg avg 17.5
WkTeamPlayerCarRuYdRuTDTgtRecReYdReTDFPts
1CLECLEQuinshon Judkins12330221707.0
Average12.033.00.02.02.017.00.07.0
Median12.033.00.02.02.017.00.07.0
High12330221707.0
Low12330221707.0

Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.

How Jonah Coleman should do vs the JaguarsSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection

Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Jaguars, plus a projection for this game.

What is this table?

Rows at the top are every game Jonah Coleman has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.

Compare against picks which group of Jaguars opponents to line them up with: the best RB they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Jonah Coleman will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.

Jaguars avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Jonah Coleman's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Jonah Coleman usually produces.

Projected is Jonah Coleman's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Jaguars were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.

Compare against
WkOppCarRuYdRuTDTgtRecReYdReTDFPts
2JAX103913319014.8
Coleman avg10.039.01.03.03.019.00.014.8
Jaguars RB2 avg1.01.00.03.03.025.00.05.6
Difference-9.0-38.0-1.0+0.0+0.0+6.0+0.0-9.2
Projected8.834.30.92.62.616.70.013.0

Difference is what the defense allows minus what Coleman averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.

Start / Sit · Jonah ColemanLow confidence · 13.0 proj ptsStart
  • Jonah Coleman averages 14.8 PPR points over 1 game (recent-weighted 14.8) and has played as the team's RB1.
  • The Jaguars have allowed 10.9 points to RB1s over 2 games (-30% vs league). The model applies 40% of that gap because the sample is small, giving a -12% adjustment.
  • Projection: 13.0 points.
  • For reference, a typical weekly starter-level RB scores about 12.2 and a top-tier one about 20.0.
  • Confidence is low: too few games for either the player or the defense. Use this as a rough lean, not a lock.
  • A statistical model from box scores, Vegas lines, weather and injury tags. It cannot see role changes or in-game events.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
  • RB1s have averaged 12.0 carries, 33.0 rushing yards and 2.0 receptions against the Jaguars across 1 game.
  • The Jaguars allow 7.0 PPR points to RB1s, -60% versus the league average of 17.5 (ranked 30 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a tough matchup.
  • RB1s scored a touchdown in 0 of 1 games (0%).
  • Small sample: only 1 game so far. Treat these numbers as directional, not settled.

Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.