SportsProof
Kaleb Johnson
NYJ

RBs vs New York Jets

As of Week 2 · through 1 game · PPR

Kaleb Johnson
Comparing
Kaleb Johnson vs the Jets
Projection 1.5 pts · 1 game played this season
Sit

RB1 = the highest-scoring RB against Jets in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.

RB1 avg pts
4.4
PPR per game
Rank
31
of 32 (1 = most allowed)
vs League
-75%
lg avg 17.5
WkTeamPlayerCarRuYdRuTDTgtRecReYdReTDFPts
1TENTENTony Pollard735021-104.4
Average7.035.00.02.01.0-1.00.04.4
Median7.035.00.02.01.0-1.00.04.4
High735021-104.4
Low735021-104.4

Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.

How Kaleb Johnson should do vs the JetsSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection

Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Jets, plus a projection for this game.

What is this table?

Rows at the top are every game Kaleb Johnson has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.

Compare against picks which group of Jets opponents to line them up with: the best RB they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Kaleb Johnson will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.

Jets avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Kaleb Johnson's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Kaleb Johnson usually produces.

Projected is Kaleb Johnson's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Jets were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.

Compare against
WkOppCarRuYdRuTDTgtRecReYdReTDFPts
2NYJ832000003.2
Johnson avg8.032.00.00.00.00.00.03.2
Jets RB2 avg3.012.00.04.02.012.00.04.4
Difference-5.0-20.0+0.0+4.0+2.0+12.0+0.0+1.2
Projected7.530.00.00.00.00.00.01.5

Difference is what the defense allows minus what Johnson averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.

Start / Sit · Kaleb JohnsonMedium confidence · 1.5 proj ptsSit

Kaleb Johnson usually plays as the team's RB2, so the verdict uses the RB2 numbers, not the slot selected above.

  • Kaleb Johnson averages 3.2 PPR points over 1 game (recent-weighted 3.2) and has played as the team's RB2.
  • The Jets have allowed 4.0 points to RB2s over 2 games (-16% vs league). The model applies 40% of that gap because the sample is small, giving a -6% adjustment.
  • Last season's average (0.9) is blended in at 67% weight because this season's sample is small.
  • Projection: 1.5 points.
  • For reference, a typical weekly starter-level RB scores about 12.2 and a top-tier one about 20.0.
  • A statistical model from box scores, Vegas lines, weather and injury tags. It cannot see role changes or in-game events.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
  • RB1s have averaged 7.0 carries, 35.0 rushing yards and 1.0 receptions against the Jets across 1 game.
  • The Jets allow 4.4 PPR points to RB1s, -75% versus the league average of 17.5 (ranked 31 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a tough matchup.
  • RB1s scored a touchdown in 0 of 1 games (0%).
  • Small sample: only 1 game so far. Treat these numbers as directional, not settled.

Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.