SportsProof
Reggie Gilliam
PIT

RBs vs Pittsburgh Steelers

As of Week 2 · through 1 game · PPR

Reggie Gilliam
Comparing
Reggie Gilliam vs the Steelers
Projection 1.2 pts · 1 game played this season
Sit

RB1 = the highest-scoring RB against Steelers in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.

RB1 avg pts
31.3
PPR per game
Rank
6
of 32 (1 = most allowed)
vs League
+79%
lg avg 17.5
WkTeamPlayerCarRuYdRuTDTgtRecReYdReTDFPts
1ATLATLBijan Robinson2183010890131.3
Average21.083.00.010.08.090.01.031.3
Median21.083.00.010.08.090.01.031.3
High2183010890131.3
Low2183010890131.3

Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.

How Reggie Gilliam should do vs the SteelersSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection

Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Steelers, plus a projection for this game.

What is this table?

Rows at the top are every game Reggie Gilliam has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.

Compare against picks which group of Steelers opponents to line them up with: the best RB they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Reggie Gilliam will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.

Steelers avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Reggie Gilliam's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Reggie Gilliam usually produces.

Projected is Reggie Gilliam's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Steelers were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.

Compare against
WkOppCarRuYdRuTDTgtRecReYdReTDFPts
2PIT00021401.4
Gilliam avg0.00.00.02.01.04.00.01.4
Steelers RB1 avg21.083.00.010.08.090.01.031.3
Difference+21.0+83.0+0.0+8.0+7.0+86.0+1.0+29.9
Projected0.00.00.01.80.93.50.01.2

Difference is what the defense allows minus what Gilliam averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.

Start / Sit · Reggie GilliamLow confidence · 1.2 proj ptsSit

Reggie Gilliam usually plays as the team's RB2, so the verdict uses the RB2 numbers, not the slot selected above.

  • Reggie Gilliam averages 1.4 PPR points over 1 game (recent-weighted 1.4) and has played as the team's RB2.
  • The Steelers have allowed 3.4 points to RB2s over 2 games (-30% vs league). The model applies 40% of that gap because the sample is small, giving a -12% adjustment.
  • Projection: 1.2 points.
  • For reference, a typical weekly starter-level RB scores about 12.2 and a top-tier one about 20.0.
  • Confidence is low: too few games for either the player or the defense. Use this as a rough lean, not a lock.
  • A statistical model from box scores, Vegas lines, weather and injury tags. It cannot see role changes or in-game events.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
  • RB1s have averaged 21.0 carries, 83.0 rushing yards and 8.0 receptions against the Steelers across 1 game.
  • The Steelers allow 31.3 PPR points to RB1s, +79% versus the league average of 17.5 (ranked 6 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a favorable matchup.
  • RB1s scored a touchdown in 1 of 1 games (100%).
  • Small sample: only 1 game so far. Treat these numbers as directional, not settled.

Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.