RBs vs Pittsburgh Steelers
As of Week 2 · through 1 game · PPR
RB1 = the highest-scoring RB against Steelers in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.
| Wk | Team | Player | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  ATL | Bijan Robinson | 21 | 83 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 90 | 1 | 31.3 |
| Average | 21.0 | 83.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 90.0 | 1.0 | 31.3 | ||
| Median | 21.0 | 83.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 90.0 | 1.0 | 31.3 | ||
| High | 21 | 83 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 90 | 1 | 31.3 | ||
| Low | 21 | 83 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 90 | 1 | 31.3 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How Corey Kiner should do vs the SteelersSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Steelers, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game Corey Kiner has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Steelers opponents to line them up with: the best RB they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Corey Kiner will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Steelers avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Corey Kiner's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Corey Kiner usually produces.
Projected is Corey Kiner's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Steelers were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA | 6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.1 |
| 2 | PIT | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Kiner avg | 4.0 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | |
| Steelers RB2 avg | 9.0 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.1 | |
| Difference | +5.0 | +25.5 | +0.0 | +0.0 | +0.0 | +0.0 | +0.0 | +2.5 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Kiner averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
Prediction & chance to scoreCorey Kiner vs the Steelers
Prediction for Corey Kiner
Nobody knows which slot Corey Kiner will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Steelers.
I predict about 1.7 points for Corey Kiner if playing as a RB2. Corey Kiner has averaged 1.1 over 1 game, and the Steelers have given up 3.1 to RB2s (-40% vs the league average of 5.2).
How this projection is built
1. The player. Corey Kiner scored: Wk 1 1.1. Average 1.1; weighted toward recent games it is 1.9.
2. The defense. Over 1 game, the Steelers allowed 3.1 points to their opponent's RB2. The league average for that slot is 5.2, so that is -40%.
3. Trusting small samples less. With 1 defensive game, only 25% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a -10% adjustment (x0.90).
4. Result. 1.9 x 0.90 = 1.7. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.
It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.
Chance to score
Type a point total to see how likely Corey Kiner is to reach it as a RB2.
Why this percentage?
The projection (1.7) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 1.0 points, leaning on Corey Kiner's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical RB swings before that).
Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 2.
With only 1 game of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- RB1s have averaged 21.0 carries, 83.0 rushing yards and 8.0 receptions against the Steelers across 1 game.
- The Steelers allow 31.3 PPR points to RB1s, +79% versus the league average of 17.5 (ranked 6 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a favorable matchup.
- RB1s scored a touchdown in 1 of 1 games (100%).
- Small sample: only 1 game so far. Treat these numbers as directional, not settled.
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.