SportsProof
Charlie Woerner
CAR

TEs vs Carolina Panthers

As of Week 2 · through 1 game · PPR

Charlie Woerner
Comparing
Charlie Woerner vs the Panthers
Projection 1.3 pts · 1 game played this season
Sit

Showing every TE who had a role in each game.

Pts / game allowed
11.5
to all TEs
Rank
19
of 32 (1 = most allowed)
vs League
-14%
lg avg 13.3
WkTeamPlayerSlotTgtRecReYdReTDFPts
1CHICHICole KmetTE13235111.5
Colston LovelandTE220000.0
Average2.51.017.50.55.8
Median2.51.017.50.55.8
High3235111.5
Low20000.0

Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.

How Charlie Woerner should do vs the PanthersSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection

Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Panthers, plus a projection for this game.

What is this table?

Rows at the top are every game Charlie Woerner has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.

Compare against picks which group of Panthers opponents to line them up with: the best TE they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Charlie Woerner will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.

Panthers avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Charlie Woerner's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Charlie Woerner usually produces.

Projected is Charlie Woerner's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Panthers were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.

Compare against
WkOppTgtRecReYdReTDFPts
2CAR10000.0
Woerner avg1.00.00.00.00.0
Panthers All avg2.51.017.50.55.8
Difference+1.5+1.0+17.5+0.5+5.8
Projected0.90.00.00.01.3

Difference is what the defense allows minus what Woerner averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.

Start / Sit · Charlie WoernerMedium confidence · 1.3 proj ptsSit

Charlie Woerner usually plays as the team's TE1, so the verdict uses the TE1 numbers, not the slot selected above.

  • Charlie Woerner averages 0.0 PPR points over 1 game (recent-weighted 0.0) and has played as the team's TE1.
  • The Panthers have allowed 7.8 points to TE1s over 2 games (-25% vs league). The model applies 40% of that gap because the sample is small, giving a -10% adjustment.
  • Last season's average (2.1) is blended in at 67% weight because this season's sample is small.
  • Projection: 1.3 points.
  • For reference, a typical weekly starter-level TE scores about 13.1 and a top-tier one about 19.6.
  • A statistical model from box scores, Vegas lines, weather and injury tags. It cannot see role changes or in-game events.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
  • all TEs have averaged 1.0 receptions, 17.5 receiving yards and 0.5 receiving TDs per player-game against the Panthers across 1 game.
  • The Panthers allow 11.5 PPR points to the position per game, -14% versus the league average of 13.3 (ranked 19 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a tough matchup.
  • 1 of 2 player-games reached 7+ PPR points. Scores range from 0.0 to 11.5 (median 5.8).
  • all TEs scored a touchdown in 1 of 2 player-games (50%).
  • Small sample: only 1 game so far. Treat these numbers as directional, not settled.

Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.