WRs vs Seattle Seahawks
As of Week 2 · through 1 game · PPR
WR1 = the highest-scoring WR against Seahawks in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.
| Wk | Team | Player | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  NE | Mack Hollins | 5 | 4 | 51 | 0 | 9.1 |
| Average | 5.0 | 4.0 | 51.0 | 0.0 | 9.1 | ||
| Median | 5.0 | 4.0 | 51.0 | 0.0 | 9.1 | ||
| High | 5 | 4 | 51 | 0 | 9.1 | ||
| Low | 5 | 4 | 51 | 0 | 9.1 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How Michael Wilson should do vs the SeahawksSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Seahawks, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game Michael Wilson has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Seahawks opponents to line them up with: the best WR they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Michael Wilson will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Seahawks avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Michael Wilson's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Michael Wilson usually produces.
Projected is Michael Wilson's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Seahawks were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAC | 7 | 5 | 56 | 0 | 10.6 |
| 2 | SEA | 7 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 3.8 |
| Wilson avg | 7.0 | 3.5 | 37.0 | 0.0 | 7.2 | |
| Seahawks WR2 avg | 7.0 | 5.0 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | |
| Difference | +0.0 | +1.5 | -17.0 | +0.0 | -0.2 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Wilson averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
Prediction & chance to scoreMichael Wilson vs the Seahawks
Prediction for Michael Wilson
Nobody knows which slot Michael Wilson will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Seahawks.
I predict about 11.7 points for Michael Wilson if playing as a WR2. Michael Wilson has averaged 10.6 over 1 game, and the Seahawks have given up 7.0 to WR2s (-15% vs the league average of 8.2).
How this projection is built
1. The player. Michael Wilson scored: Wk 1 10.6. Average 10.6; weighted toward recent games it is 12.2.
2. The defense. Over 1 game, the Seahawks allowed 7.0 points to their opponent's WR2. The league average for that slot is 8.2, so that is -15%.
3. Trusting small samples less. With 1 defensive game, only 25% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a -4% adjustment (x0.96).
4. Result. 12.2 x 0.96 = 11.7. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.
It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.
Chance to score
Type a point total to see how likely Michael Wilson is to reach it as a WR2.
Why this percentage?
The projection (11.7) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 7.0 points, leaning on Michael Wilson's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical WR swings before that).
Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 12.
With only 1 game of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- WR1s have averaged 4.0 receptions, 51.0 receiving yards and 0.0 receiving TDs against the Seahawks across 1 game.
- The Seahawks allow 9.1 PPR points to WR1s, -46% versus the league average of 17.0 (ranked 27 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a tough matchup.
- WR1s scored a touchdown in 0 of 1 games (0%).
- Small sample: only 1 game so far. Treat these numbers as directional, not settled.
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.