WRs vs Seattle Seahawks
As of Week 13 · through 2 games · PPR
WR1 = the highest-scoring WR against Seahawks in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.
| Wk | Team | Player | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  NE | Mack Hollins | 5 | 4 | 51 | 0 | 9.1 |
| 2 |  ARI | Michael Wilson | 7 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 3.8 |
| Average | 6.0 | 3.0 | 34.5 | 0.0 | 6.4 | ||
| Median | 6.0 | 3.0 | 34.5 | 0.0 | 6.4 | ||
| High | 7 | 4 | 51 | 0 | 9.1 | ||
| Low | 5 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 3.8 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How Ryan Flournoy should do vs the SeahawksSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Seahawks, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game Ryan Flournoy has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Seahawks opponents to line them up with: the best WR they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Ryan Flournoy will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Seahawks avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Ryan Flournoy's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Ryan Flournoy usually produces.
Projected is Ryan Flournoy's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Seahawks were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYG | 4 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 4.2 |
| 2 | WAS | 6 | 5 | 23 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Flournoy avg | 5.0 | 3.5 | 22.5 | 0.0 | 5.8 | |
| Seahawks WR1 avg | 6.0 | 3.0 | 34.5 | 0.0 | 6.4 | |
| Difference | +1.0 | -0.5 | +12.0 | +0.0 | +0.7 | |
| Projected as WR1 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 16.9 | 0.0 | 5.5 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Flournoy averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
Start / Sit · Ryan FlournoyMedium confidence · 6.2 proj ptsSit
Ryan Flournoy usually plays as the team's WR3, so the verdict uses the WR3 numbers, not the slot selected above.
- Ryan Flournoy averages 5.8 PPR points over 2 games (recent-weighted 5.9) and has played as the team's WR3.
- The Seahawks have allowed 2.8 points to WR3s over 2 games (-39% vs league). The model applies 40% of that gap because the sample is small, giving a -15% adjustment.
- Last season's average (8.8) is blended in at 50% weight because this season's sample is small.
- Projection: 6.2 points.
- For reference, a typical weekly starter-level WR scores about 11.8 and a top-tier one about 20.8.
- A statistical model from box scores, Vegas lines, weather and injury tags. It cannot see role changes or in-game events.
Prediction & chance to scoreRyan Flournoy vs the Seahawks
Prediction for Ryan Flournoy
Nobody knows which slot Ryan Flournoy will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Seahawks.
I predict about 6.2 points for Ryan Flournoy if playing as a WR3. Ryan Flournoy has averaged 5.8 over 2 games, and the Seahawks have given up 2.8 to WR3s (-39% vs the league average of 4.6).
How this projection is built
1. The player. Ryan Flournoy scored: Wk 1 4.2, Wk 2 7.3. Average 5.8; weighted toward recent games it is 7.3.
2. The defense. Over 2 games, the Seahawks allowed 2.8 points to their opponent's WR3. The league average for that slot is 4.6, so that is -39%.
3. Trusting small samples less. With 2 defensive games, only 40% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a -15% adjustment (x0.85).
4. Result. 7.3 x 0.85 = 6.2. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.
It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.
Chance to score
Type a point total to see how likely Ryan Flournoy is to reach it as a WR3.
Why this percentage?
The projection (6.2) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 3.7 points, leaning on Ryan Flournoy's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical WR swings before that).
Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 6.
With only 2 games of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- WR1s have averaged 3.0 receptions, 34.5 receiving yards and 0.0 receiving TDs against the Seahawks across 2 games.
- The Seahawks allow 6.4 PPR points to WR1s, -62% versus the league average of 17.0 (ranked 32 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a tough matchup.
- 0 of 2 games reached 10+ PPR points. Scores range from 3.8 to 9.1 (median 6.4).
- WR1s scored a touchdown in 0 of 2 games (0%).
- Small sample: only 2 games so far. Treat these numbers as directional, not settled.
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.