WRs vs San Francisco 49ers
As of Week 2 · through 1 game · PPR
WR1 = the highest-scoring WR against 49ers in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.
| Wk | Team | Player | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  LA | Puka Nacua | 9 | 5 | 74 | 0 | 12.4 |
| Average | 9.0 | 5.0 | 74.0 | 0.0 | 12.4 | ||
| Median | 9.0 | 5.0 | 74.0 | 0.0 | 12.4 | ||
| High | 9 | 5 | 74 | 0 | 12.4 | ||
| Low | 9 | 5 | 74 | 0 | 12.4 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How Ryan Miller should do vs the 49ersSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the 49ers, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game Ryan Miller has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of 49ers opponents to line them up with: the best WR they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Ryan Miller will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
49ers avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Ryan Miller's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Ryan Miller usually produces.
Projected is Ryan Miller's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the 49ers were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SF | 1 | 1 | 77 | 1 | 14.7 |
| Miller avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 77.0 | 1.0 | 14.7 | |
| 49ers WR1 avg | 9.0 | 5.0 | 74.0 | 0.0 | 12.4 | |
| Difference | +8.0 | +4.0 | -3.0 | -1.0 | -2.3 | |
| Projected | 0.9 | 0.9 | 70.8 | 0.9 | 6.3 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Miller averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
Start / Sit · Ryan MillerMedium confidence · 6.3 proj ptsSit
- Ryan Miller averages 14.7 PPR points over 1 game (recent-weighted 14.7) and has played as the team's WR1.
- The 49ers have allowed 13.6 points to WR1s over 2 games (-20% vs league). The model applies 40% of that gap because the sample is small, giving a -8% adjustment.
- Last season's average (2.9) is blended in at 67% weight because this season's sample is small.
- Projection: 6.3 points.
- For reference, a typical weekly starter-level WR scores about 11.8 and a top-tier one about 20.8.
- A statistical model from box scores, Vegas lines, weather and injury tags. It cannot see role changes or in-game events.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- WR1s have averaged 5.0 receptions, 74.0 receiving yards and 0.0 receiving TDs against the 49ers across 1 game.
- The 49ers allow 12.4 PPR points to WR1s, -27% versus the league average of 17.0 (ranked 22 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a tough matchup.
- WR1s scored a touchdown in 0 of 1 games (0%).
- Small sample: only 1 game so far. Treat these numbers as directional, not settled.
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.