WRs vs San Francisco 49ers
As of Week 2 · through 1 game · PPR
WR1 = the highest-scoring WR against 49ers in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.
| Wk | Team | Player | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  LA | Puka Nacua | 9 | 5 | 74 | 0 | 12.4 |
| Average | 9.0 | 5.0 | 74.0 | 0.0 | 12.4 | ||
| Median | 9.0 | 5.0 | 74.0 | 0.0 | 12.4 | ||
| High | 9 | 5 | 74 | 0 | 12.4 | ||
| Low | 9 | 5 | 74 | 0 | 12.4 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How Malik Washington should do vs the 49ersSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the 49ers, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game Malik Washington has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of 49ers opponents to line them up with: the best WR they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Malik Washington will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
49ers avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Malik Washington's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Malik Washington usually produces.
Projected is Malik Washington's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the 49ers were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LV | 8 | 3 | 53 | 0 | 6.3 |
| 2 | SF | 5 | 4 | 43 | 0 | 8.7 |
| Washington avg | 6.5 | 3.5 | 48.0 | 0.0 | 7.5 | |
| 49ers WR2 avg | 6.0 | 3.0 | 26.0 | 0.0 | 5.6 | |
| Difference | -0.5 | -0.5 | -22.0 | +0.0 | -1.9 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Washington averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
Prediction & chance to scoreMalik Washington vs the 49ers
Prediction for Malik Washington
Nobody knows which slot Malik Washington will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the 49ers.
I predict about 6.1 points for Malik Washington if playing as a WR2. Malik Washington has averaged 6.3 over 1 game, and the 49ers have given up 5.6 to WR2s (-32% vs the league average of 8.2).
How this projection is built
1. The player. Malik Washington scored: Wk 1 6.3. Average 6.3; weighted toward recent games it is 6.7.
2. The defense. Over 1 game, the 49ers allowed 5.6 points to their opponent's WR2. The league average for that slot is 8.2, so that is -32%.
3. Trusting small samples less. With 1 defensive game, only 25% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a -8% adjustment (x0.92).
4. Result. 6.7 x 0.92 = 6.1. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.
It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.
Chance to score
Type a point total to see how likely Malik Washington is to reach it as a WR2.
Why this percentage?
The projection (6.1) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 3.7 points, leaning on Malik Washington's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical WR swings before that).
Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 6.
With only 1 game of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- WR1s have averaged 5.0 receptions, 74.0 receiving yards and 0.0 receiving TDs against the 49ers across 1 game.
- The 49ers allow 12.4 PPR points to WR1s, -27% versus the league average of 17.0 (ranked 22 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a tough matchup.
- WR1s scored a touchdown in 0 of 1 games (0%).
- Small sample: only 1 game so far. Treat these numbers as directional, not settled.
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.