Austin Ekeler
RB
Washington Commanders
- Teammate Terry McLaurin (a top target) is on IR, so Ekeler may see more targets.
- Backfield mate Jacory Croskey-Merritt is on IR, so Ekeler could see more carries.
A hurt top target or lead back nudges the projection up a little, since their work tends to shift to teammates. QB and offensive-line flags are shown for context but do not change the number.
This is how RBs have played against the Colts in the 2026 season.
RB2 = the second-highest-scoring RB against Colts in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.
| Wk | Team | Player | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  BAL | Justice Hill | 6 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 3.8 |
| 2 |  KC | Emmett Johnson | 2 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 5.5 |
| 3 |  HOU | David Montgomery | 11 | 33 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 6.8 |
| Average | 6.3 | 22.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 5.4 | ||
| Median | 6.0 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 5.5 | ||
| High | 11 | 33 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 6.8 | ||
| Low | 2 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 3.8 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How Austin Ekeler should do vs the ColtsSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Colts, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game Austin Ekeler has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Colts opponents to line them up with: the best RB they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Austin Ekeler will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Colts avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Austin Ekeler's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Austin Ekeler usually produces.
Projected is Austin Ekeler's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Colts were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | IND | 4 | 29 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 5.0 |
| 5 | NYG | 3 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 2.4 |
| 6 | SF | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2.7 |
| 8 | PHI | 8 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.6 |
| Ekeler avg | 4.0 | 16.8 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 3.9 | |
| Colts RB2 avg | 6.3 | 22.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 5.4 | |
| Difference | +2.3 | +5.3 | +0.0 | +0.4 | +0.7 | +7.5 | +0.0 | +1.4 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Ekeler averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- RB2s have averaged 6.3 carries, 22.0 rushing yards and 1.7 receptions against the Colts across 3 games.
- The Colts allow 5.4 PPR points to RB2s, +16% versus the league average of 4.6 (ranked 8 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a favorable matchup.
- Outlier: Week 3, David Montgomery (11 car) sits far above the other games and pulls the averages up. Average with it vs without it: car 6.3 vs 4.0. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- 0 of 3 games reached 10+ PPR points. Scores range from 3.8 to 6.8 (median 5.5).
- RB2s scored a touchdown in 0 of 3 games (0%).
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.