SportsProof
Tanner Hudson

Tanner Hudson

TECINCincinnati BengalsIR

Other TEs on CIN
Games
4
2026 season
PPR PPG
4.1
TE61 overall
Total pts
16.3

This is how TEs have played against the Steelers in the 2026 season.

TE1 = the highest-scoring TE against Steelers in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.

WkTeamPlayerTgtRecReYdReTDFPts
1ATLATLKyle Pitts10000.0
2NENEHunter Henry534007.0
Average3.01.520.00.03.5
Median3.01.520.00.03.5
High534007.0
Low10000.0

Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.

TE1 avg pts
3.5
PPR per game
Rank
30
of 32 (1 = most allowed)
vs League
-66%
lg avg 10.4
How Tanner Hudson should do vs the SteelersSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection

Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Steelers, plus a projection for this game.

What is this table?

Rows at the top are every game Tanner Hudson has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.

Compare against picks which group of Steelers opponents to line them up with: the best TE they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Tanner Hudson will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.

Steelers avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Tanner Hudson's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Tanner Hudson usually produces.

Projected is Tanner Hudson's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Steelers were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.

Compare against
WkOppTgtRecReYdReTDFPts
1TB11401.4
3PIT221303.3
4JAX11201.2
5MIA3314110.4
Hudson avg1.81.88.30.34.1
Steelers TE1 avg3.01.520.00.03.5
Difference+1.3-0.3+11.8-0.3-0.6

Difference is what the defense allows minus what Hudson averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.

Prediction & chance to scoreTanner Hudson vs the Steelers

Prediction for Tanner Hudson

Nobody knows which slot Tanner Hudson will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Steelers.

If Tanner Hudson plays as
2.7
projected PPR points

I predict about 2.7 points for Tanner Hudson if playing as a TE1. Tanner Hudson has averaged 1.4 over 1 game, and the Steelers have given up 3.5 to TE1s (-66% vs the league average of 10.4).

How this projection is built

1. The player. Tanner Hudson scored: Wk 1 1.4. Average 1.4; weighted toward recent games it is 3.7.

2. The defense. Over 2 games, the Steelers allowed 3.5 points to their opponent's TE1. The league average for that slot is 10.4, so that is -66%.

3. Trusting small samples less. With 2 defensive games, only 40% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a -26% adjustment (x0.74).

4. Result. 3.7 x 0.74 = 2.7. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.

It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.

Chance to score

Type a point total to see how likely Tanner Hudson is to reach it as a TE1.

35%
chance of 3+ PPR points
Why this percentage?

The projection (2.7) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 1.6 points, leaning on Tanner Hudson's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical TE swings before that).

Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 3.

With only 1 game of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.

InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
  • TE1s have averaged 1.5 receptions, 20.0 receiving yards and 0.0 receiving TDs against the Steelers across 2 games.
  • The Steelers allow 3.5 PPR points to TE1s, -66% versus the league average of 10.4 (ranked 30 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a tough matchup.
  • 1 of 2 games reached 7+ PPR points. Scores range from 0.0 to 7.0 (median 3.5).
  • TE1s scored a touchdown in 0 of 2 games (0%).
  • Small sample: only 2 games so far. Treat these numbers as directional, not settled.

Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.