Josh Jacobs
RB
Green Bay Packers
- Teammate Christian Watson (a top target) is questionable.
- Backfield mate MarShawn Lloyd is questionable, so Jacobs could see more carries.
A hurt top target or lead back nudges the projection up a little, since their work tends to shift to teammates. QB and offensive-line flags are shown for context but do not change the number.
This is how RBs have played against the Falcons in the 2026 season.
RB1 = the highest-scoring RB against Falcons in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.
| Wk | Team | Player | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PIT | Jaylen Warren | 10 | 46 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 0 | 10.3 |
| 2 |  CAR | Chuba Hubbard | 12 | 53 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 14.4 |
| Average | 11.0 | 49.5 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 19.0 | 0.5 | 12.4 | ||
| Median | 11.0 | 49.5 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 19.0 | 0.5 | 12.4 | ||
| High | 12 | 53 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 1 | 14.4 | ||
| Low | 10 | 46 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 10.3 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How Josh Jacobs should do vs the FalconsSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Falcons, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game Josh Jacobs has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Falcons opponents to line them up with: the best RB they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Josh Jacobs will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Falcons avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Josh Jacobs's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Josh Jacobs usually produces.
Projected is Josh Jacobs's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Falcons were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | DET | 11 | 36 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 55 | 1 | 20.1 |
| 8 | CAR | 21 | 39 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 1 | 23.2 |
| Jacobs avg | 16.0 | 37.5 | 0.5 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 34.0 | 1.0 | 21.6 | |
| Falcons RB1 avg | 11.0 | 49.5 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 19.0 | 0.5 | 12.4 | |
| Difference | -5.0 | +12.0 | -0.5 | -2.5 | -2.0 | -15.0 | -0.5 | -9.3 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Jacobs averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- RB1s have averaged 11.0 carries, 49.5 rushing yards and 3.5 receptions against the Falcons across 2 games.
- The Falcons allow 12.4 PPR points to RB1s, -21% versus the league average of 15.6 (ranked 20 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a tough matchup.
- 2 of 2 games reached 10+ PPR points. Scores range from 10.3 to 14.4 (median 12.4).
- Every RB1 in the sample cleared 40 rushing yards.
- RB1s scored a touchdown in 1 of 2 games (50%).
- Small sample: only 2 games so far. Treat these numbers as directional, not settled.
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.