D'Andre Swift
RB
Chicago Bears▲ Hot
This is how RBs have played against the Vikings in the 2026 season.
RB1 = the highest-scoring RB against Vikings in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.
| Wk | Team | Player | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GB | MarShawn Lloyd | 13 | 37 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.7 |
| Average | 13.0 | 37.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7 | ||
| Median | 13.0 | 37.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7 | ||
| High | 13 | 37 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.7 | ||
| Low | 13 | 37 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.7 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How D'Andre Swift should do vs the VikingsSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Vikings, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game D'Andre Swift has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Vikings opponents to line them up with: the best RB they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot D'Andre Swift will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Vikings avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus D'Andre Swift's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than D'Andre Swift usually produces.
Projected is D'Andre Swift's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Vikings were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CAR | 18 | 124 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 32.4 |
| 2 | MIN | 16 | 45 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 54 | 0 | 12.9 |
| 3 | PHI | 20 | 84 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 10.8 |
| 4 | NYJ | 15 | 58 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 7.4 |
| 5 | GB | 9 | 43 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 17.3 |
| 6 | ATL | 16 | 44 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 0 | 23.0 |
| 7 | NE | 22 | 78 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 19.0 |
| 8 | SEA | 27 | 69 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 27.9 |
| Swift avg | 17.9 | 68.1 | 1.3 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 20.3 | 0.0 | 18.8 | |
| Vikings RB1 avg | 13.0 | 37.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7 | |
| Difference | -4.9 | -31.1 | -1.3 | -2.5 | -3.0 | -20.3 | +0.0 | -15.1 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Swift averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
Prediction & chance to scoreD'Andre Swift vs the Vikings
Prediction for D'Andre Swift
Nobody knows which slot D'Andre Swift will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Vikings.
I predict about 16.3 points for D'Andre Swift if playing as a RB1. D'Andre Swift has averaged 32.4 over 1 game, and the Vikings have given up 3.7 to RB1s (-79% vs the league average of 17.5).
How this projection is built
1. The player. D'Andre Swift scored: Wk 1 32.4. Average 32.4; weighted toward recent games it is 20.3.
2. The defense. Over 1 game, the Vikings allowed 3.7 points to their opponent's RB1. The league average for that slot is 17.5, so that is -79%.
3. Trusting small samples less. With 1 defensive game, only 25% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a -20% adjustment (x0.80).
4. Result. 20.3 x 0.80 = 16.3. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.
It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.
Chance to score
Type a point total to see how likely D'Andre Swift is to reach it as a RB1.
Why this percentage?
The projection (16.3) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 9.8 points, leaning on D'Andre Swift's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical RB swings before that).
Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 16.
With only 1 game of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- RB1s have averaged 13.0 carries, 37.0 rushing yards and 0.0 receptions against the Vikings across 1 game.
- The Vikings allow 3.7 PPR points to RB1s, -79% versus the league average of 17.5 (ranked 32 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a tough matchup.
- RB1s scored a touchdown in 0 of 1 games (0%).
- Small sample: only 1 game so far. Treat these numbers as directional, not settled.
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.