DeeJay Dallas
RB
Minnesota Vikings
- Quarterback Kyler Murray is questionable. Watch the status.
A hurt top target or lead back nudges the projection up a little, since their work tends to shift to teammates. QB and offensive-line flags are shown for context but do not change the number.
This is how RBs have played against the Saints in the 2026 season.
RB2 = the second-highest-scoring RB against Saints in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.
| Wk | Team | Player | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  DET | Sione Vaki | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 2.8 |
| 2 |  BAL | Justice Hill | 2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 3.8 |
| 3 |  LV | Mike Washington Jr. | 5 | 54 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11.4 |
| 4 |  ATL | Brian Robinson | 14 | 62 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 25.7 |
| Average | 5.8 | 32.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 10.9 | ||
| Median | 3.5 | 30.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 7.6 | ||
| High | 14 | 62 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 25.7 | ||
| Low | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.8 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How DeeJay Dallas should do vs the SaintsSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Saints, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game DeeJay Dallas has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Saints opponents to line them up with: the best RB they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot DeeJay Dallas will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Saints avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus DeeJay Dallas's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than DeeJay Dallas usually produces.
Projected is DeeJay Dallas's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Saints were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.1 |
| 2 | CHI | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 3.0 |
| 3 | TB | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 |
| 4 | MIA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 2.0 |
| 5 | NO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 2.1 |
| 8 | DET | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Dallas avg | 0.7 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 5.7 | 0.0 | 1.5 | |
| Saints RB2 avg | 5.8 | 32.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 10.9 | |
| Difference | +5.1 | +29.9 | +1.0 | +0.3 | +0.3 | +1.3 | +0.0 | +9.5 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Dallas averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
Prediction & chance to scoreDeeJay Dallas vs the Saints
Prediction for DeeJay Dallas
Nobody knows which slot DeeJay Dallas will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Saints.
I predict about 2.0 points for DeeJay Dallas if playing as a RB2. DeeJay Dallas has averaged 1.6 over 4 games, and the Saints have given up 10.9 to RB2s (+135% vs the league average of 4.7).
How this projection is built
1. The player. DeeJay Dallas scored: Wk 1 1.1, Wk 2 3.0, Wk 3 0.2, Wk 4 2.0. Average 1.6; weighted toward recent games it is 1.6.
2. The defense. Over 4 games, the Saints allowed 10.9 points to their opponent's RB2. The league average for that slot is 4.7, so that is +135%.
3. Trusting small samples less. With 4 defensive games, only 57% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a +30% adjustment (x1.30).
4. Result. 1.6 x 1.30 = 2.0. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.
It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.
Chance to score
Type a point total to see how likely DeeJay Dallas is to reach it as a RB2.
Why this percentage?
The projection (2.0) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 1.2 points, leaning on DeeJay Dallas's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical RB swings before that).
Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 2.
With only 4 games of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- RB2s have averaged 5.8 carries, 32.3 rushing yards and 1.0 receptions against the Saints across 4 games.
- The Saints allow 10.9 PPR points to RB2s, +135% versus the league average of 4.7 (ranked 1 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a favorable matchup.
- Outlier: Week 4, Brian Robinson (25.7 pts, 14 car, 62 rush yds) sits far above the other games and pulls the averages up. Average with it vs without it: pts 10.9 vs 6.0; car 5.8 vs 3.0; rush yds 32.3 vs 22.3. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- Outlier: Week 2, Justice Hill (3.8 pts, 6 rush yds) sits far below the other games and drags the averages down. Average with it vs without it: pts 10.9 vs 13.3; rush yds 32.3 vs 41.0. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- 2 of 4 games reached 10+ PPR points. Scores range from 2.8 to 25.7 (median 7.6).
- RB2s scored a touchdown in 2 of 4 games (50%).
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.