SportsProof
Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne

RBNONew Orleans SaintsIR

Other RBs on NO
Games
3
2026 season
PPR PPG
10.3
RB36 overall
Total pts
30.9

This is how RBs have played against the Cardinals in the 2026 season.

RB1 = the highest-scoring RB against Cardinals in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.

WkTeamPlayerCarRuYdRuTDTgtRecReYdReTDFPts
1LACLACOmarion Hampton1243100008.3
2SEASEAEmanuel Wilson2192010009.2
3SFSFChristian McCaffrey157515441021.6
4NYGNYGCam Skattebo1858011807.6
5DETDETJahmyr Gibbs2515126556037.7
6LALABlake Corum94202218114.0
7DENDENRJ Harvey3602254114.0
8DALDALJavonte Williams2456021106.7
Average15.965.40.52.41.922.30.314.9
Median16.557.00.02.01.513.00.011.6
High2515126556137.7
Low36000006.7

Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.

RB1 avg pts
14.9
PPR per game
Rank
22
of 32 (1 = most allowed)
vs League
-8%
lg avg 16.1
How Travis Etienne should do vs the CardinalsSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection

Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Cardinals, plus a projection for this game.

What is this table?

Rows at the top are every game Travis Etienne has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.

Compare against picks which group of Cardinals opponents to line them up with: the best RB they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Travis Etienne will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.

Cardinals avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Travis Etienne's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Travis Etienne usually produces.

Projected is Travis Etienne's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Cardinals were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.

Compare against
WkOppCarRuYdRuTDTgtRecReYdReTDFPts
1DET94609732014.8
2BAL825022607.1
3LV13570221309.0
Etienne avg10.042.70.04.33.717.00.010.3
Cardinals RB1 avg15.965.40.52.41.922.30.314.9
Difference+5.9+22.7+0.5-2.0-1.8+5.3+0.3+4.6
Projected as RB19.540.30.04.13.516.10.011.3

Difference is what the defense allows minus what Etienne averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.

Start / Sit · Travis EtienneGood confidence · 11.3 proj ptsOut
  • Travis Etienne averages 10.3 PPR points over 3 games (recent-weighted 9.9) and has played as the team's RB1.
  • The Cardinals have allowed 14.9 points to RB1s over 8 games (-8% vs league). The model applies 73% of that gap because the sample is small, giving a -5% adjustment.
  • Last season's average (14.9) is blended in at 40% weight because this season's sample is small.
  • Injury report: IR. The projection assumes the player plays.
  • Projection: 11.3 points.
  • For reference, a typical weekly starter-level RB scores about 13.1 and a top-tier one about 20.9.
  • A statistical model from box scores, Vegas lines, weather and injury tags. It cannot see role changes or in-game events.
Prediction & chance to scoreTravis Etienne vs the Cardinals

Prediction for Travis Etienne

Nobody knows which slot Travis Etienne will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Cardinals.

If Travis Etienne plays as
11.3
projected PPR points

I predict about 11.3 points for Travis Etienne if playing as a RB1. Travis Etienne has averaged 10.3 over 3 games, and the Cardinals have given up 14.9 to RB1s (-8% vs the league average of 16.1).

How this projection is built

1. The player. Travis Etienne scored: Wk 1 14.8, Wk 2 7.1, Wk 3 9.0. Average 10.3; weighted toward recent games it is 11.9.

2. The defense. Over 8 games, the Cardinals allowed 14.9 points to their opponent's RB1. The league average for that slot is 16.1, so that is -8%.

3. Trusting small samples less. With 8 defensive games, only 73% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a -5% adjustment (x0.95).

4. Result. 11.9 x 0.95 = 11.3. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.

It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.

Chance to score

Type a point total to see how likely Travis Etienne is to reach it as a RB1.

46%
chance of 11+ PPR points
Why this percentage?

The projection (11.3) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 5.4 points, leaning on Travis Etienne's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical RB swings before that).

Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 11.

With only 3 games of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.

InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
  • RB1s have averaged 15.9 carries, 65.4 rushing yards and 1.9 receptions against the Cardinals across 8 games.
  • The Cardinals allow 14.9 PPR points to RB1s, -8% versus the league average of 16.1 (ranked 22 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a near-average matchup.
  • Outlier: Week 5, Jahmyr Gibbs (37.7 pts, 25 car, 151 rush yds) sits far above the other games and pulls the averages up. Average with it vs without it: pts 14.9 vs 11.6; car 15.9 vs 14.6; rush yds 65.4 vs 53.1. The table above keeps the raw averages.
  • Outlier: Week 7, RJ Harvey (3 car, 6 rush yds) sits far below the other games and drags the averages down. Average with it vs without it: car 15.9 vs 17.7; rush yds 65.4 vs 73.9. The table above keeps the raw averages.
  • 4 of 8 games reached 10+ PPR points. Scores range from 6.7 to 37.7 (median 11.6).
  • RB1s scored a touchdown in 5 of 8 games (63%).

Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.