Tre Tucker
WR
Las Vegas Raiders
This is how WRs have played against the Chiefs in the 2026 season.
WR1 = the highest-scoring WR against Chiefs in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.
| Wk | Team | Player | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  DEN | Pat Bryant | 6 | 4 | 42 | 0 | 8.2 |
| 2 |  IND | Josh Downs | 9 | 7 | 72 | 0 | 14.2 |
| 3 |  MIA | Malik Washington | 10 | 5 | 56 | 0 | 11.1 |
| Average | 8.3 | 5.3 | 56.7 | 0.0 | 11.2 | ||
| Median | 9.0 | 5.0 | 56.0 | 0.0 | 11.1 | ||
| High | 10 | 7 | 72 | 0 | 14.2 | ||
| Low | 6 | 4 | 42 | 0 | 8.2 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How Tre Tucker should do vs the ChiefsSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Chiefs, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game Tre Tucker has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Chiefs opponents to line them up with: the best WR they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Tre Tucker will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Chiefs avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Tre Tucker's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Tre Tucker usually produces.
Projected is Tre Tucker's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Chiefs were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIA | 4 | 2 | 27 | 0 | 4.7 |
| 2 | LAC | 7 | 5 | 119 | 1 | 22.9 |
| 3 | NO | 4 | 4 | 43 | 0 | 8.3 |
| 4 | KC | 8 | 4 | 44 | 0 | 8.4 |
| 5 | NE | 5 | 4 | 41 | 0 | 7.5 |
| 6 | BUF | 7 | 5 | 97 | 2 | 26.7 |
| 7 | LA | 12 | 5 | 103 | 1 | 21.3 |
| 8 | NYJ | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Tucker avg | 6.0 | 3.6 | 59.3 | 0.5 | 12.5 | |
| Chiefs WR1 avg | 8.3 | 5.3 | 56.7 | 0.0 | 11.2 | |
| Difference | +2.3 | +1.7 | -2.6 | -0.5 | -1.3 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Tucker averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
Prediction & chance to scoreTre Tucker vs the Chiefs
Prediction for Tre Tucker
Nobody knows which slot Tre Tucker will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Chiefs.
I predict about 9.2 points for Tre Tucker if playing as a WR1. Tre Tucker has averaged 12.0 over 3 games, and the Chiefs have given up 11.2 to WR1s (-35% vs the league average of 17.1).
How this projection is built
1. The player. Tre Tucker scored: Wk 1 4.7, Wk 2 22.9, Wk 3 8.3. Average 12.0; weighted toward recent games it is 11.1.
2. The defense. Over 3 games, the Chiefs allowed 11.2 points to their opponent's WR1. The league average for that slot is 17.1, so that is -35%.
3. Trusting small samples less. With 3 defensive games, only 50% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a -17% adjustment (x0.83).
4. Result. 11.1 x 0.83 = 9.2. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.
It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.
Chance to score
Type a point total to see how likely Tre Tucker is to reach it as a WR1.
Why this percentage?
The projection (9.2) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 7.6 points, leaning on Tre Tucker's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical WR swings before that).
Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 9.
With only 3 games of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- WR1s have averaged 5.3 receptions, 56.7 receiving yards and 0.0 receiving TDs against the Chiefs across 3 games.
- The Chiefs allow 11.2 PPR points to WR1s, -35% versus the league average of 17.1 (ranked 29 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a tough matchup.
- 2 of 3 games reached 10+ PPR points. Scores range from 8.2 to 14.2 (median 11.1).
- Every WR1 in the sample cleared 40 receiving yards.
- WR1s scored a touchdown in 0 of 3 games (0%).
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.