SportsProof
Jaleel McLaughlin

Jaleel McLaughlin

RBCLECleveland Browns

Other RBs on CLE
Heads up
  • Quarterback Deshaun Watson is questionable. Watch the status.
  • Teammate Denzel Boston (a top target) is questionable.
  • Teammate Harold Fannin Jr. (a top target) is questionable.

A hurt top target or lead back nudges the projection up a little, since their work tends to shift to teammates. QB and offensive-line flags are shown for context but do not change the number.

Games
4
2026 season
PPR PPG
4.7
RB74 overall
Total pts
18.6

This is how RBs have played against the Jets in the 2026 season.

RB2 = the second-highest-scoring RB against Jets in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.

WkTeamPlayerCarRuYdRuTDTgtRecReYdReTDFPts
1TENTENTyjae Spears3120421204.4
2GBGBChris Brooks4110211503.6
3DETDETSione Vaki6260111104.7
4CHICHID'Andre Swift15580221607.4
Average7.026.80.02.31.513.50.05.0
Median5.019.00.02.01.513.50.04.6
High15580421607.4
Low3110111103.6

Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.

RB2 avg pts
5.0
PPR per game
Rank
11
of 32 (1 = most allowed)
vs League
+8%
lg avg 4.7
How Jaleel McLaughlin should do vs the JetsSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection

Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Jets, plus a projection for this game.

What is this table?

Rows at the top are every game Jaleel McLaughlin has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.

Compare against picks which group of Jets opponents to line them up with: the best RB they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Jaleel McLaughlin will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.

Jets avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Jaleel McLaughlin's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Jaleel McLaughlin usually produces.

Projected is Jaleel McLaughlin's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Jets were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.

Compare against
WkOppCarRuYdRuTDTgtRecReYdReTDFPts
2TB13010000.3
4PIT128100008.8
5NYJ00010000.0
6BAL9410441409.5
McLaughlin avg2.818.00.31.51.03.50.04.7
Jets RB2 avg7.026.80.02.31.513.50.05.0
Difference+4.3+8.8-0.3+0.8+0.5+10.0+0.0+0.4

Difference is what the defense allows minus what McLaughlin averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.

Prediction & chance to scoreJaleel McLaughlin vs the Jets

Prediction for Jaleel McLaughlin

Nobody knows which slot Jaleel McLaughlin will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Jets.

If Jaleel McLaughlin plays as
4.7
projected PPR points

I predict about 4.7 points for Jaleel McLaughlin if playing as a RB2. Jaleel McLaughlin has averaged 4.6 over 2 games, and the Jets have given up 5.0 to RB2s (+8% vs the league average of 4.7).

How this projection is built

1. The player. Jaleel McLaughlin scored: Wk 2 0.3, Wk 4 8.8. Average 4.6; weighted toward recent games it is 4.5.

2. The defense. Over 4 games, the Jets allowed 5.0 points to their opponent's RB2. The league average for that slot is 4.7, so that is +8%.

3. Trusting small samples less. With 4 defensive games, only 57% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a +5% adjustment (x1.05).

4. Result. 4.5 x 1.05 = 4.7. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.

It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.

Chance to score

Type a point total to see how likely Jaleel McLaughlin is to reach it as a RB2.

38%
chance of 5+ PPR points
Why this percentage?

The projection (4.7) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 2.8 points, leaning on Jaleel McLaughlin's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical RB swings before that).

Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 5.

With only 2 games of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.

InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
  • RB2s have averaged 7.0 carries, 26.8 rushing yards and 1.5 receptions against the Jets across 4 games.
  • The Jets allow 5.0 PPR points to RB2s, +8% versus the league average of 4.7 (ranked 11 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a near-average matchup.
  • Outlier: Week 4, D'Andre Swift (15 car, 58 rush yds) sits far above the other games and pulls the averages up. Average with it vs without it: car 7.0 vs 4.3; rush yds 26.8 vs 16.3. The table above keeps the raw averages.
  • 0 of 4 games reached 10+ PPR points. Scores range from 3.6 to 7.4 (median 4.6).
  • RB2s scored a touchdown in 0 of 4 games (0%).

Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.