Mitchell Tinsley
WR
Cincinnati Bengals
This is how WRs have played against the Titans in the 2026 season.
WR3 = the third-highest-scoring WR against Titans in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.
| Wk | Team | Player | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  NYJ | Omar Cooper Jr. | 1 | 1 | 30 | 0 | 4.0 |
| 2 |  PHI | Darius Cooper | 3 | 2 | 26 | 1 | 10.6 |
| 3 |  NYG | Malachi Fields | 2 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 3.9 |
| 4 |  BAL | Devontez Walker | 2 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 2.9 |
| 5 |  HOU | Xavier Hutchinson | 5 | 4 | 65 | 0 | 10.5 |
| 6 |  IND | Deion Burks | 2 | 2 | 41 | 0 | 6.8 |
| 7 |  CLE | Denzel Boston | 8 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 5.7 |
| Average | 3.3 | 2.1 | 32.4 | 0.1 | 6.3 | ||
| Median | 2.0 | 2.0 | 27.0 | 0.0 | 5.7 | ||
| High | 8 | 4 | 65 | 1 | 10.6 | ||
| Low | 1 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 2.9 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How Mitchell Tinsley should do vs the TitansSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Titans, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game Mitchell Tinsley has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Titans opponents to line them up with: the best WR they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Mitchell Tinsley will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Titans avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Mitchell Tinsley's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Mitchell Tinsley usually produces.
Projected is Mitchell Tinsley's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Titans were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | JAX | 7 | 3 | 49 | 0 | 7.9 |
| 7 | BAL | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1.7 |
| Tinsley avg | 4.0 | 2.0 | 28.0 | 0.0 | 4.8 | |
| Titans WR3 avg | 3.3 | 2.1 | 32.4 | 0.1 | 6.3 | |
| Difference | -0.7 | +0.1 | +4.4 | +0.1 | +1.5 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Tinsley averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
Prediction & chance to scoreMitchell Tinsley vs the Titans
Prediction for Mitchell Tinsley
Nobody knows which slot Mitchell Tinsley will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Titans.
I predict about 5.5 points for Mitchell Tinsley if playing as a WR3. Mitchell Tinsley has averaged 4.8 over 2 games, and the Titans have given up 6.3 to WR3s (+46% vs the league average of 4.4).
How this projection is built
1. The player. Mitchell Tinsley scored: Wk 4 7.9, Wk 7 1.7. Average 4.8; weighted toward recent games it is 4.2.
2. The defense. Over 7 games, the Titans allowed 6.3 points to their opponent's WR3. The league average for that slot is 4.4, so that is +46%.
3. Trusting small samples less. With 7 defensive games, only 70% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a +30% adjustment (x1.30).
4. Result. 4.2 x 1.30 = 5.5. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.
It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.
Chance to score
Type a point total to see how likely Mitchell Tinsley is to reach it as a WR3.
Why this percentage?
The projection (5.5) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 3.3 points, leaning on Mitchell Tinsley's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical WR swings before that).
Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 5.
With only 2 games of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- WR3s have averaged 2.1 receptions, 32.4 receiving yards and 0.1 receiving TDs against the Titans across 7 games.
- The Titans allow 6.3 PPR points to WR3s, +46% versus the league average of 4.4 (ranked 1 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a favorable matchup.
- Outlier: Week 5, Xavier Hutchinson (65 yds) sits far above the other games and pulls the averages up. Average with it vs without it: yds 32.4 vs 27.0. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- 2 of 7 games reached 10+ PPR points. Scores range from 2.9 to 10.6 (median 5.7).
- WR3s scored a touchdown in 1 of 7 games (14%).
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.