Roschon Johnson
RB
Chicago Bears
This is how RBs have played against the Vikings in the 2026 season.
RB2 = the second-highest-scoring RB against Vikings in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.
| Wk | Team | Player | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GB | Chris Brooks | 7 | 29 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.9 |
| 2 | CHI | Kyle Monangai | 10 | 47 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 7.8 |
| 3 |  TB | Kenny Gainwell | 3 | -4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 3.0 |
| 4 |  MIA | Jaylen Wright | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.7 |
| 5 |  NO | CJ Donaldson | 4 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 3.0 |
| 7 |  IND | Seth McGowan | 11 | 46 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5.8 |
| 8 |  DET | Sione Vaki | 11 | 65 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 8.0 |
| Average | 7.3 | 29.0 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 5.6 | 0.0 | 4.5 | ||
| Median | 7.0 | 29.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | ||
| High | 11 | 65 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 8.0 | ||
| Low | 3 | -4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.7 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How Roschon Johnson should do vs the VikingsSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Vikings, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game Roschon Johnson has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Vikings opponents to line them up with: the best RB they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Roschon Johnson will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Vikings avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Roschon Johnson's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Roschon Johnson usually produces.
Projected is Roschon Johnson's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Vikings were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | NYJ | 4 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 3.3 |
| 5 | GB | 5 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 34 | 0 | 9.0 |
| 6 | ATL | 13 | 51 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 0 | 14.5 |
| 7 | NE | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 |
| 8 | SEA | 5 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 3.8 |
| Johnson avg | 5.8 | 20.6 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 17.2 | 0.0 | 6.4 | |
| Vikings RB2 avg | 7.3 | 29.0 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 5.6 | 0.0 | 4.5 | |
| Difference | +1.5 | +8.4 | -0.2 | -0.6 | -0.8 | -11.6 | +0.0 | -1.9 | |
| Projected as RB2 | 5.3 | 18.8 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 15.7 | 0.0 | 5.5 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Johnson averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
Start / Sit · Roschon JohnsonGood confidence · 5.5 proj pts1/10 start
- Roschon Johnson averages 6.4 PPR points over 5 games (recent-weighted 6.0) and has played as the team's RB2.
- The Vikings have allowed 4.5 points to RB2s over 7 games (-12% vs league). The model applies 70% of that gap because the sample is small, giving a -9% adjustment.
- Projection: 5.5 points.
- For reference, a typical weekly starter-level RB scores about 13.1 and a top-tier one about 20.9.
- A statistical model from box scores, Vegas lines, weather and injury tags. It cannot see role changes or in-game events.
Prediction & chance to scoreRoschon Johnson vs the Vikings
Prediction for Roschon Johnson
Nobody knows which slot Roschon Johnson will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Vikings.
I predict about 5.5 points for Roschon Johnson if playing as a RB2. Roschon Johnson has averaged 6.4 over 5 games, and the Vikings have given up 4.5 to RB2s (-12% vs the league average of 5.1).
How this projection is built
1. The player. Roschon Johnson scored: Wk 4 3.3, Wk 5 9.0, Wk 6 14.5, Wk 7 1.3, Wk 8 3.8. Average 6.4; weighted toward recent games it is 6.0.
2. The defense. Over 7 games, the Vikings allowed 4.5 points to their opponent's RB2. The league average for that slot is 5.1, so that is -12%.
3. Trusting small samples less. With 7 defensive games, only 70% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a -9% adjustment (x0.91).
4. Result. 6.0 x 0.91 = 5.5. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.
It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.
Chance to score
Type a point total to see how likely Roschon Johnson is to reach it as a RB2.
Why this percentage?
The projection (5.5) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 5.0 points, leaning on Roschon Johnson's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical RB swings before that).
Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 5.
With only 5 games of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- RB2s have averaged 7.3 carries, 29.0 rushing yards and 1.0 receptions against the Vikings across 7 games.
- The Vikings allow 4.5 PPR points to RB2s, -12% versus the league average of 5.1 (ranked 20 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a tough matchup.
- Outlier: Week 8, Sione Vaki (65 rush yds) sits far above the other games and pulls the averages up. Average with it vs without it: rush yds 29.0 vs 23.0. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- Outlier: Week 3, Kenny Gainwell (-4 rush yds) sits far below the other games and drags the averages down. Average with it vs without it: rush yds 29.0 vs 34.5. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- 0 of 7 games reached 10+ PPR points. Scores range from 0.7 to 8.0 (median 3.0).
- RB2s scored a touchdown in 0 of 7 games (0%).
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.