De'Von Achane
RB
Miami DolphinsIR
This is how RBs have played against the Bengals in the 2026 season.
RB1 = the highest-scoring RB against Bengals in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.
| Wk | Team | Player | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  TB | Bucky Irving | 8 | 45 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 48 | 0 | 20.3 |
| 2 |  HOU | Woody Marks | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 0 | 8.5 |
| 3 |  PIT | Jaylen Warren | 17 | 127 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 49 | 0 | 20.6 |
| 4 |  JAX | Bhayshul Tuten | 17 | 73 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 11.1 |
| Average | 12.5 | 63.3 | 0.3 | 4.8 | 4.3 | 35.5 | 0.0 | 15.1 | ||
| Median | 12.5 | 59.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 37.5 | 0.0 | 15.7 | ||
| High | 17 | 127 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 49 | 0 | 20.6 | ||
| Low | 8 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 8.5 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How De'Von Achane should do vs the BengalsSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Bengals, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game De'Von Achane has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Bengals opponents to line them up with: the best RB they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot De'Von Achane will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Bengals avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus De'Von Achane's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than De'Von Achane usually produces.
Projected is De'Von Achane's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Bengals were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LV | 11 | 36 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 10.6 |
| 2 | SF | 20 | 74 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 12.3 |
| 3 | KC | 3 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.7 |
| Achane avg | 11.3 | 42.3 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 16.3 | 0.0 | 8.2 | |
| Bengals RB1 avg | 12.5 | 63.3 | 0.3 | 4.8 | 4.3 | 35.5 | 0.0 | 15.1 | |
| Difference | +1.2 | +20.9 | +0.3 | +0.8 | +1.9 | +19.2 | +0.0 | +6.9 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Achane averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
Prediction & chance to scoreDe'Von Achane vs the Bengals
Prediction for De'Von Achane
Nobody knows which slot De'Von Achane will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Bengals.
I predict about 12.2 points for De'Von Achane if playing as a RB1. De'Von Achane has averaged 8.2 over 3 games, and the Bengals have given up 15.1 to RB1s (-6% vs the league average of 16.0).
How this projection is built
1. The player. De'Von Achane scored: Wk 1 10.6, Wk 2 12.3, Wk 3 1.7. Average 8.2; weighted toward recent games it is 12.6.
2. The defense. Over 4 games, the Bengals allowed 15.1 points to their opponent's RB1. The league average for that slot is 16.0, so that is -6%.
3. Trusting small samples less. With 4 defensive games, only 57% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a -3% adjustment (x0.97).
4. Result. 12.6 x 0.97 = 12.2. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.
It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.
Chance to score
Type a point total to see how likely De'Von Achane is to reach it as a RB1.
Why this percentage?
The projection (12.2) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 6.5 points, leaning on De'Von Achane's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical RB swings before that).
Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 12.
With only 3 games of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- RB1s have averaged 12.5 carries, 63.3 rushing yards and 4.3 receptions against the Bengals across 4 games.
- The Bengals allow 15.1 PPR points to RB1s, -6% versus the league average of 16.0 (ranked 19 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a near-average matchup.
- Outlier: Week 3, Jaylen Warren (127 rush yds) sits far above the other games and pulls the averages up. Average with it vs without it: rush yds 63.3 vs 42.0. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- Outlier: Week 2, Woody Marks (8 rush yds) sits far below the other games and drags the averages down. Average with it vs without it: rush yds 63.3 vs 81.7. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- 3 of 4 games reached 10+ PPR points. Scores range from 8.5 to 20.6 (median 15.7).
- RB1s scored a touchdown in 1 of 4 games (25%).
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.