Elijah Higgins
TE
Arizona Cardinals
- Teammate Michael Wilson (a top target) is questionable.
- Teammate Kendrick Bourne (a top target) is on IR, so Higgins may see more targets.
A hurt top target or lead back nudges the projection up a little, since their work tends to shift to teammates. QB and offensive-line flags are shown for context but do not change the number.
This is how TEs have played against the Seahawks in the 2026 season.
TE1 = the highest-scoring TE against Seahawks in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.
| Wk | Team | Player | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  NE | Eli Raridon | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7.2 |
| 2 | ARI | Trey McBride | 10 | 8 | 41 | 1 | 18.1 |
| 3 |  WAS | John Bates | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 1.9 |
| 4 |  LAC | Oronde Gadsden II | 8 | 5 | 36 | 0 | 8.8 |
| 5 |  SF | George Kittle | 6 | 5 | 24 | 0 | 7.4 |
| 6 |  DEN | Evan Engram | 2 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 3.3 |
| 7 |  KC | Travis Kelce | 8 | 4 | 44 | 0 | 8.4 |
| 8 |  CHI | Colston Loveland | 9 | 7 | 65 | 0 | 11.5 |
| Average | 5.6 | 4.1 | 29.3 | 0.3 | 8.3 | ||
| Median | 7.0 | 4.5 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 7.9 | ||
| High | 10 | 8 | 65 | 1 | 18.1 | ||
| Low | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1.9 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How Elijah Higgins should do vs the SeahawksSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Seahawks, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game Elijah Higgins has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Seahawks opponents to line them up with: the best TE they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Elijah Higgins will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Seahawks avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Elijah Higgins's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Elijah Higgins usually produces.
Projected is Elijah Higgins's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Seahawks were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | SF | 3 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 5.0 |
| 4 | NYG | 2 | 2 | 19 | 1 | 9.9 |
| 5 | DET | 3 | 3 | 57 | 0 | 8.7 |
| 6 | LA | 3 | 3 | 28 | 0 | 5.8 |
| 7 | DEN | 3 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 4.7 |
| 8 | DAL | 4 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 3.0 |
| Higgins avg | 3.0 | 2.7 | 25.2 | 0.2 | 6.2 | |
| Seahawks TE1 avg | 5.6 | 4.1 | 29.3 | 0.3 | 8.3 | |
| Difference | +2.6 | +1.5 | +4.1 | +0.1 | +2.1 | |
| Projected as TE1 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 21.3 | 0.1 | 4.4 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Higgins averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
Start / Sit · Elijah HigginsGood confidence · 4.0 proj pts1/10 start
- Elijah Higgins averages 6.2 PPR points over 6 games (recent-weighted 5.6) and has played as the team's TE1.
- The Seahawks have allowed 8.3 points to TE1s over 8 games (-21% vs league). The model applies 73% of that gap because the sample is small, giving a -15% adjustment.
- Last season's average (3.9) is blended in at 25% weight because this season's sample is small.
- Game environment -11%: Vegas total 39.5, implied 15.5 points for ARI (league avg 22.6); Underdog by 8.5: likely to pass more while trailing; Mild weather (55F, 12 mph wind): no weather adjustment.
- Opposing-defense injuries (+1%): Opposing starter Leonard Williams (DL) is questionable, which helps the passing game. Opposing starter Ernest Jones IV (LB) is questionable, which helps the passing game.
- Teammate injuries (+3%): Teammate Michael Wilson (a top target) is questionable, which can mean extra looks for Higgins. Teammate Kendrick Bourne (a top target) is on IR, which can mean extra looks for Higgins.
- Projection: 4.0 points.
- For reference, a typical weekly starter-level TE scores about 13.5 and a top-tier one about 19.5.
- A statistical model from box scores, Vegas lines, weather and injury tags. It cannot see role changes or in-game events.
Prediction & chance to scoreElijah Higgins vs the Seahawks
Prediction for Elijah Higgins
Nobody knows which slot Elijah Higgins will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Seahawks.
I predict about 4.4 points for Elijah Higgins if playing as a TE1. Elijah Higgins has averaged 6.2 over 6 games, and the Seahawks have given up 8.3 to TE1s (-21% vs the league average of 10.5).
How this projection is built
1. The player. Elijah Higgins scored: Wk 3 5.0, Wk 4 9.9, Wk 5 8.7, Wk 6 5.8, Wk 7 4.7, Wk 8 3.0. Average 6.2; weighted toward recent games it is 5.2.
2. The defense. Over 8 games, the Seahawks allowed 8.3 points to their opponent's TE1. The league average for that slot is 10.5, so that is -21%.
3. Trusting small samples less. With 8 defensive games, only 73% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a -15% adjustment (x0.85).
4. Result. 5.2 x 0.85 = 4.4. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.
It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.
Chance to score
Type a point total to see how likely Elijah Higgins is to reach it as a TE1.
Why this percentage?
The projection (4.4) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 2.6 points, leaning on Elijah Higgins's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical TE swings before that).
Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 4.
With only 6 games of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- TE1s have averaged 4.1 receptions, 29.3 receiving yards and 0.3 receiving TDs against the Seahawks across 8 games.
- The Seahawks allow 8.3 PPR points to TE1s, -21% versus the league average of 10.5 (ranked 24 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a tough matchup.
- Outlier: Week 2, Trey McBride (18.1 pts, 8 rec) sits far above the other games and pulls the averages up. Average with it vs without it: pts 8.3 vs 6.9; rec 4.1 vs 3.6. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- Outlier: Week 8, Colston Loveland (7 rec, 65 yds) sits far above the other games and pulls the averages up. Average with it vs without it: rec 4.1 vs 3.7; yds 29.3 vs 24.1. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- 6 of 8 games reached 7+ PPR points. Scores range from 1.9 to 18.1 (median 7.9).
- TE1s scored a touchdown in 2 of 8 games (25%).
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.