Bucky Irving
RB
Tampa Bay Buccaneers▲ Hot
This is how RBs have played against the Panthers in the 2026 season.
RB1 = the highest-scoring RB against Panthers in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.
| Wk | Team | Player | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CHI | D'Andre Swift | 18 | 124 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 32.4 |
| 2 |  ATL | Bijan Robinson | 16 | 72 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 11.1 |
| 3 |  CLE | Quinshon Judkins | 18 | 70 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 9.9 |
| 4 |  DET | Jahmyr Gibbs | 15 | 46 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 31 | 0 | 17.7 |
| 6 |  PHI | Dameon Pierce | 12 | 35 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 0 | 15.0 |
| Average | 15.8 | 69.4 | 1.0 | 3.8 | 2.8 | 14.8 | 0.0 | 17.2 | ||
| Median | 16.0 | 70.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | ||
| High | 18 | 124 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 31 | 0 | 32.4 | ||
| Low | 12 | 35 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 9.9 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How Bucky Irving should do vs the PanthersSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Panthers, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game Bucky Irving has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Panthers opponents to line them up with: the best RB they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Bucky Irving will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Panthers avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Bucky Irving's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Bucky Irving usually produces.
Projected is Bucky Irving's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Panthers were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CIN | 8 | 45 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 48 | 0 | 20.3 |
| 2 | CLE | 17 | 89 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13.0 |
| 3 | MIN | 15 | 46 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 7.8 |
| 4 | GB | 16 | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.1 |
| 5 | DAL | 21 | 165 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 31.5 |
| 6 | PIT | 19 | 46 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| 7 | CAR | 24 | 106 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 24.0 |
| 8 | ATL | 27 | 170 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21.0 |
| Irving avg | 18.4 | 91.0 | 0.6 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 9.8 | 0.1 | 16.3 | |
| Panthers RB1 avg | 15.8 | 69.4 | 1.0 | 3.8 | 2.8 | 14.8 | 0.0 | 17.2 | |
| Difference | -2.6 | -21.6 | +0.4 | +0.9 | +0.5 | +5.1 | -0.1 | +0.9 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Irving averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
Prediction & chance to scoreBucky Irving vs the Panthers
Prediction for Bucky Irving
Nobody knows which slot Bucky Irving will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Panthers.
I predict about 14.8 points for Bucky Irving if playing as a RB1. Bucky Irving has averaged 14.3 over 6 games, and the Panthers have given up 17.2 to RB1s (+9% vs the league average of 15.8).
How this projection is built
1. The player. Bucky Irving scored: Wk 1 20.3, Wk 2 13.0, Wk 3 7.8, Wk 4 6.1, Wk 5 31.5, Wk 6 6.9. Average 14.3; weighted toward recent games it is 14.0.
2. The defense. Over 5 games, the Panthers allowed 17.2 points to their opponent's RB1. The league average for that slot is 15.8, so that is +9%.
3. Trusting small samples less. With 5 defensive games, only 63% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a +5% adjustment (x1.05).
4. Result. 14.0 x 1.05 = 14.8. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.
It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.
Chance to score
Type a point total to see how likely Bucky Irving is to reach it as a RB1.
Why this percentage?
The projection (14.8) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 10.0 points, leaning on Bucky Irving's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical RB swings before that).
Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 15.
With only 6 games of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- RB1s have averaged 15.8 carries, 69.4 rushing yards and 2.8 receptions against the Panthers across 5 games.
- The Panthers allow 17.2 PPR points to RB1s, +9% versus the league average of 15.8 (ranked 8 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a near-average matchup.
- Outlier: Week 1, D'Andre Swift (32.4 pts, 124 rush yds) sits far above the other games and pulls the averages up. Average with it vs without it: pts 17.2 vs 13.4; rush yds 69.4 vs 55.8. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- 4 of 5 games reached 10+ PPR points. Scores range from 9.9 to 32.4 (median 15.0).
- Every RB1 in the sample cleared 30 rushing yards.
- RB1s scored a touchdown in 3 of 5 games (60%).
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.