Brevyn Spann-Ford
TE
Dallas Cowboys▲ Hot
- Teammate George Pickens (a top target) is questionable.
A hurt top target or lead back nudges the projection up a little, since their work tends to shift to teammates. QB and offensive-line flags are shown for context but do not change the number.
This is how TEs have played against the Eagles in the 2026 season.
TE1 = the highest-scoring TE against Eagles in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.
| Wk | Team | Player | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  WAS | Chig Okonkwo | 3 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 3.6 |
| 2 |  TEN | Gunnar Helm | 2 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 3.3 |
| 3 |  CHI | Colston Loveland | 4 | 4 | 31 | 0 | 7.1 |
| 4 |  LA | Tyler Higbee | 6 | 5 | 67 | 0 | 11.7 |
| 5 |  JAX | Brenton Strange | 8 | 7 | 68 | 0 | 13.8 |
| 6 |  CAR | Tommy Tremble | 4 | 4 | 46 | 2 | 20.6 |
| 7 | DAL | Brevyn Spann-Ford | 2 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 3.1 |
| 8 | WAS | Chig Okonkwo | 4 | 2 | 32 | 0 | 3.2 |
| Average | 4.1 | 3.5 | 35.5 | 0.3 | 8.3 | ||
| Median | 4.0 | 3.0 | 31.5 | 0.0 | 5.3 | ||
| High | 8 | 7 | 68 | 2 | 20.6 | ||
| Low | 2 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 3.1 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How Brevyn Spann-Ford should do vs the EaglesSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Eagles, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game Brevyn Spann-Ford has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Eagles opponents to line them up with: the best TE they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Brevyn Spann-Ford will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Eagles avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Brevyn Spann-Ford's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Brevyn Spann-Ford usually produces.
Projected is Brevyn Spann-Ford's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Eagles were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYG | 2 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 3.4 |
| 3 | BAL | 1 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 2.9 |
| 4 | HOU | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 5 | TB | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 6 | GB | 5 | 4 | 35 | 0 | 7.5 |
| 7 | PHI | 2 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 3.1 |
| 8 | ARI | 5 | 4 | 31 | 0 | 7.1 |
| Spann-Ford avg | 2.6 | 1.9 | 15.7 | 0.0 | 3.4 | |
| Eagles TE1 avg | 4.1 | 3.5 | 35.5 | 0.3 | 8.3 | |
| Difference | +1.6 | +1.6 | +19.8 | +0.3 | +4.9 | |
| Projected as TE1 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 13.3 | 0.0 | 3.2 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Spann-Ford averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
Start / Sit · Brevyn Spann-FordGood confidence · 3.2 proj pts1/10 start
- Brevyn Spann-Ford averages 3.4 PPR points over 7 games (recent-weighted 4.1) and has played as the team's TE1.
- The Eagles have allowed 8.3 points to TE1s over 8 games (-21% vs league). The model applies 73% of that gap because the sample is small, giving a -15% adjustment.
- Last season's average (2.4) is blended in at 22% weight because this season's sample is small.
- Projection: 3.2 points.
- For reference, a typical weekly starter-level TE scores about 13.5 and a top-tier one about 19.5.
- A statistical model from box scores, Vegas lines, weather and injury tags. It cannot see role changes or in-game events.
Prediction & chance to scoreBrevyn Spann-Ford vs the Eagles
Prediction for Brevyn Spann-Ford
Nobody knows which slot Brevyn Spann-Ford will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Eagles.
I predict about 3.2 points for Brevyn Spann-Ford if playing as a TE1. Brevyn Spann-Ford has averaged 3.4 over 7 games, and the Eagles have given up 8.3 to TE1s (-21% vs the league average of 10.5).
How this projection is built
1. The player. Brevyn Spann-Ford scored: Wk 1 3.4, Wk 3 2.9, Wk 4 0.0, Wk 5 0.0, Wk 6 7.5, Wk 7 3.1, Wk 8 7.1. Average 3.4; weighted toward recent games it is 3.7.
2. The defense. Over 8 games, the Eagles allowed 8.3 points to their opponent's TE1. The league average for that slot is 10.5, so that is -21%.
3. Trusting small samples less. With 8 defensive games, only 73% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a -15% adjustment (x0.85).
4. Result. 3.7 x 0.85 = 3.2. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.
It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.
Chance to score
Type a point total to see how likely Brevyn Spann-Ford is to reach it as a TE1.
Why this percentage?
The projection (3.2) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 3.0 points, leaning on Brevyn Spann-Ford's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical TE swings before that).
Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 3.
With only 7 games of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- TE1s have averaged 3.5 receptions, 35.5 receiving yards and 0.3 receiving TDs against the Eagles across 8 games.
- The Eagles allow 8.3 PPR points to TE1s, -21% versus the league average of 10.5 (ranked 25 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a tough matchup.
- Outlier: Week 5, Brenton Strange (13.8 pts, 7 rec, 68 yds) sits far above the other games and pulls the averages up. Average with it vs without it: pts 8.3 vs 7.5; rec 3.5 vs 3.0; yds 35.5 vs 30.9. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- Outlier: Week 6, Tommy Tremble (20.6 pts) sits far above the other games and pulls the averages up. Average with it vs without it: pts 8.3 vs 6.5. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- 4 of 8 games reached 7+ PPR points. Scores range from 3.1 to 20.6 (median 5.3).
- TE1s scored a touchdown in 1 of 8 games (13%).
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.