Brevyn Spann-Ford
TE
Dallas Cowboys▲ Hot
- Teammate George Pickens (a top target) is questionable.
A hurt top target or lead back nudges the projection up a little, since their work tends to shift to teammates. QB and offensive-line flags are shown for context but do not change the number.
This is how TEs have played against the Titans in the 2026 season.
TE1 = the highest-scoring TE against Titans in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.
| Wk | Team | Player | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  NYJ | Kenyon Sadiq | 3 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 11.4 |
| 2 |  PHI | Johnny Mundt | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 2.8 |
| 3 |  NYG | Isaiah Likely | 5 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 3.3 |
| 4 |  BAL | Mark Andrews | 6 | 5 | 27 | 1 | 13.7 |
| 5 |  HOU | Dalton Schultz | 4 | 3 | 30 | 0 | 6.0 |
| 6 |  IND | Mo Alie-Cox | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7.1 |
| 7 |  CLE | Harold Fannin Jr. | 9 | 6 | 91 | 0 | 13.1 |
| 8 |  CIN | Mike Gesicki | 6 | 4 | 76 | 1 | 17.6 |
| Average | 4.6 | 3.3 | 33.4 | 0.4 | 9.4 | ||
| Median | 4.5 | 3.0 | 24.0 | 0.0 | 9.3 | ||
| High | 9 | 6 | 91 | 1 | 17.6 | ||
| Low | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2.8 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How Brevyn Spann-Ford should do vs the TitansSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Titans, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game Brevyn Spann-Ford has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Titans opponents to line them up with: the best TE they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Brevyn Spann-Ford will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Titans avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Brevyn Spann-Ford's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Brevyn Spann-Ford usually produces.
Projected is Brevyn Spann-Ford's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Titans were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYG | 2 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 3.4 |
| 3 | BAL | 1 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 2.9 |
| 4 | HOU | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 5 | TB | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 6 | GB | 5 | 4 | 35 | 0 | 7.5 |
| 7 | PHI | 2 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 3.1 |
| 8 | ARI | 5 | 4 | 31 | 0 | 7.1 |
| Spann-Ford avg | 2.6 | 1.9 | 15.7 | 0.0 | 3.4 | |
| Titans TE1 avg | 4.6 | 3.3 | 33.4 | 0.4 | 9.4 | |
| Difference | +2.1 | +1.4 | +17.7 | +0.4 | +5.9 | |
| Projected as TE1 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 14.5 | 0.0 | 3.4 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Spann-Ford averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
Start / Sit · Brevyn Spann-FordGood confidence · 3.4 proj pts1/10 start
- Brevyn Spann-Ford averages 3.4 PPR points over 7 games (recent-weighted 4.1) and has played as the team's TE1.
- The Titans have allowed 9.4 points to TE1s over 8 games (-11% vs league). The model applies 73% of that gap because the sample is small, giving a -8% adjustment.
- Last season's average (2.4) is blended in at 22% weight because this season's sample is small.
- Projection: 3.4 points.
- For reference, a typical weekly starter-level TE scores about 13.5 and a top-tier one about 19.5.
- A statistical model from box scores, Vegas lines, weather and injury tags. It cannot see role changes or in-game events.
Prediction & chance to scoreBrevyn Spann-Ford vs the Titans
Prediction for Brevyn Spann-Ford
Nobody knows which slot Brevyn Spann-Ford will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Titans.
I predict about 3.4 points for Brevyn Spann-Ford if playing as a TE1. Brevyn Spann-Ford has averaged 3.4 over 7 games, and the Titans have given up 9.4 to TE1s (-11% vs the league average of 10.5).
How this projection is built
1. The player. Brevyn Spann-Ford scored: Wk 1 3.4, Wk 3 2.9, Wk 4 0.0, Wk 5 0.0, Wk 6 7.5, Wk 7 3.1, Wk 8 7.1. Average 3.4; weighted toward recent games it is 3.7.
2. The defense. Over 8 games, the Titans allowed 9.4 points to their opponent's TE1. The league average for that slot is 10.5, so that is -11%.
3. Trusting small samples less. With 8 defensive games, only 73% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a -8% adjustment (x0.92).
4. Result. 3.7 x 0.92 = 3.4. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.
It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.
Chance to score
Type a point total to see how likely Brevyn Spann-Ford is to reach it as a TE1.
Why this percentage?
The projection (3.4) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 3.0 points, leaning on Brevyn Spann-Ford's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical TE swings before that).
Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 3.
With only 7 games of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- TE1s have averaged 3.3 receptions, 33.4 receiving yards and 0.4 receiving TDs against the Titans across 8 games.
- The Titans allow 9.4 PPR points to TE1s, -11% versus the league average of 10.5 (ranked 21 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a tough matchup.
- Outlier: Week 8, Mike Gesicki (17.6 pts, 76 yds) sits far above the other games and pulls the averages up. Average with it vs without it: pts 9.4 vs 8.2; yds 33.4 vs 27.3. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- Outlier: Week 7, Harold Fannin Jr. (6 rec, 91 yds) sits far above the other games and pulls the averages up. Average with it vs without it: rec 3.3 vs 2.9; yds 33.4 vs 25.1. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- 5 of 8 games reached 7+ PPR points. Scores range from 2.8 to 17.6 (median 9.3).
- TE1s scored a touchdown in 4 of 8 games (50%).
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.