Zachariah Branch
WR
Atlanta FalconsOut
This is how WRs have played against the Buccaneers in the 2026 season.
WR3 = the third-highest-scoring WR against Buccaneers in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.
| Wk | Team | Player | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CIN | Ja'Marr Chase | 4 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 3.2 |
| 2 |  CLE | Isaiah Bond | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 2.0 |
| 3 |  MIN | Jauan Jennings | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.1 |
| 4 |  GB | Skyy Moore | 2 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 0.8 |
| 5 |  DAL | KaVontae Turpin | 4 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 4.2 |
| 7 |  CAR | Jalen Coker | 4 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 1.9 |
| Average | 2.8 | 1.3 | 8.7 | 0.0 | 2.2 | ||
| Median | 3.0 | 1.0 | 9.5 | 0.0 | 1.9 | ||
| High | 4 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 4.2 | ||
| Low | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 0.8 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How Zachariah Branch should do vs the BuccaneersSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Buccaneers, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game Zachariah Branch has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Buccaneers opponents to line them up with: the best WR they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Zachariah Branch will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Buccaneers avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Zachariah Branch's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Zachariah Branch usually produces.
Projected is Zachariah Branch's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Buccaneers were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CAR | 2 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 3.4 |
| 3 | GB | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1.7 |
| 4 | NO | 2 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 3.0 |
| 5 | BAL | 2 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 3.5 |
| 6 | CHI | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 4.9 |
| 7 | SF | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 2.7 |
| Branch avg | 2.0 | 1.7 | 10.7 | 0.0 | 3.2 | |
| Buccaneers WR3 avg | 2.8 | 1.3 | 8.7 | 0.0 | 2.2 | |
| Difference | +0.8 | -0.3 | -2.0 | +0.0 | -1.0 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Branch averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
Prediction & chance to scoreZachariah Branch vs the Buccaneers
Prediction for Zachariah Branch
Nobody knows which slot Zachariah Branch will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Buccaneers.
I predict about 2.3 points for Zachariah Branch if playing as a WR3. Zachariah Branch has averaged 3.2 over 6 games, and the Buccaneers have given up 2.2 to WR3s (-49% vs the league average of 4.4).
How this projection is built
1. The player. Zachariah Branch scored: Wk 2 3.4, Wk 3 1.7, Wk 4 3.0, Wk 5 3.5, Wk 6 4.9, Wk 7 2.7. Average 3.2; weighted toward recent games it is 3.3.
2. The defense. Over 6 games, the Buccaneers allowed 2.2 points to their opponent's WR3. The league average for that slot is 4.4, so that is -49%.
3. Trusting small samples less. With 6 defensive games, only 67% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a -30% adjustment (x0.70).
4. Result. 3.3 x 0.70 = 2.3. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.
It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.
Chance to score
Type a point total to see how likely Zachariah Branch is to reach it as a WR3.
Why this percentage?
The projection (2.3) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 1.1 points, leaning on Zachariah Branch's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical WR swings before that).
Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 2.
With only 6 games of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- WR3s have averaged 1.3 receptions, 8.7 receiving yards and 0.0 receiving TDs against the Buccaneers across 7 games.
- The Buccaneers allow 2.2 PPR points to WR3s, -49% versus the league average of 4.4 (ranked 32 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a tough matchup.
- 0 of 6 games reached 10+ PPR points. Scores range from 0.8 to 4.2 (median 1.9).
- WR3s scored a touchdown in 0 of 6 games (0%).
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.