Dominic Zvada
K
New York Giants
This is how Ks have played against the Commanders in the 2026 season.
| Wk | Team | Player | FGM | FGA | 40+ | Lng | XP | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PHI | Jake Elliott | 1 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 6.0 |
| 2 |  DAL | Brandon Aubrey | 3 | 3 | 2 | 60 | 4 | 16.0 |
| 3 |  SEA | Jason Myers | 1 | 1 | 1 | 57 | 4 | 9.0 |
| 4 |  IND | Spencer Shrader | 3 | 3 | 3 | 52 | 3 | 16.0 |
| Average | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 51.0 | 3.5 | 11.8 | ||
| Median | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 54.5 | 3.5 | 12.5 | ||
| High | 3 | 3 | 3 | 60 | 4 | 16.0 | ||
| Low | 1 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 6.0 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed. Kicker scoring: FG 3/4/5 by distance, XP 1, missed FG under 40 yds -1.
How Dominic Zvada should do vs the CommandersSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Commanders, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game Dominic Zvada has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Commanders opponents to line them up with: the best K they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Dominic Zvada will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Commanders avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Dominic Zvada's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Dominic Zvada usually produces.
Projected is Dominic Zvada's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Commanders were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | FGM | FGA | 40+ | Lng | XP | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4.0 |
| 2 | LA | 2 | 2 | 1 | 52 | 0 | 8.0 |
| 3 | TEN | 4 | 4 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 12.0 |
| 4 | ARI | 3 | 3 | 2 | 52 | 1 | 14.0 |
| 5 | WAS | 2 | 5 | 2 | 56 | 3 | 13.0 |
| 6 | NO | 2 | 2 | 1 | 41 | 1 | 8.0 |
| 7 | HOU | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3.0 |
| Zvada avg | 1.9 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 34.3 | 1.7 | 8.9 | |
| Commanders K1 avg | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 51.0 | 3.5 | 11.8 | |
| Difference | +0.1 | -0.6 | +0.6 | +16.7 | +1.8 | +2.9 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Zvada averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
Prediction & chance to scoreDominic Zvada vs the Commanders
Prediction for Dominic Zvada
Nobody knows which slot Dominic Zvada will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Commanders.
I predict about 12.5 points for Dominic Zvada if playing as a K1. Dominic Zvada has averaged 9.5 over 4 games, and the Commanders have given up 11.8 to K1s (+35% vs the league average of 8.7).
How this projection is built
1. The player. Dominic Zvada scored: Wk 1 4.0, Wk 2 8.0, Wk 3 12.0, Wk 4 14.0. Average 9.5; weighted toward recent games it is 10.4.
2. The defense. Over 4 games, the Commanders allowed 11.8 points to their opponent's K1. The league average for that slot is 8.7, so that is +35%.
3. Trusting small samples less. With 4 defensive games, only 57% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a +20% adjustment (x1.20).
4. Result. 10.4 x 1.20 = 12.5. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.
It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.
Chance to score
Type a point total to see how likely Dominic Zvada is to reach it as a K1.
Why this percentage?
The projection (12.5) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 5.5 points, leaning on Dominic Zvada's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical K swings before that).
Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 13.
With only 4 games of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- K1s have averaged 2.0 field goals made, 2.0 field goal attempts and 3.5 extra points against the Commanders across 4 games.
- The Commanders allow 11.8 PPR points to K1s, +35% versus the league average of 8.7 (ranked 4 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a favorable matchup.
- 3 of 4 games reached 8+ PPR points. Scores range from 6.0 to 16.0 (median 12.5).
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.