Atlanta Falcons D/ST
DST Team defense ▼ Cold
Games
8
2026 season
D/ST PPG
4.9
#22 of 32
Total pts
39.0
Next matchup · Week 9
1/10 start
vs Cincinnati Bengals offense
Projection 3.7 pts · Good confidence · #24 of 32 defenses
- ATL defenses average 4.9 fantasy points over 8 games (2.3 sacks and 1.1 takeaways per game); blended with the league average of 5.7 to 5.1.
- The CIN offense has given up 4.4 points per game to defenses vs a league average of 5.7, so 70% of that gap is applied (x0.85).
- Game environment (x0.86): Vegas total 52.5, implied 24.8 points for ATL (league avg 22.6); Underdog by 3: likely to pass more while trailing; Indoors: no weather effect, a small boost for passing and kicking.
- Chance of a 10+ point game: 4%. A statistical model, not injury or lineup news.
Game log & schedule
| Wk | Opp | Result | Sck | TO | TD | PA | FPts | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ PIT | L 13-20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 5 | +2% |
| 2 | vs CAR | L 3-34 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | +19% |
| 3 | @ GB | W 35-14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | -5% |
| 4 | @ NO | W 45-24 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 4 | +24% |
| 5 | vs BAL | L 23-30 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 5 | +4% |
| 6 | vs CHI | L 23-31 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 5 | +8% |
| 7 | vs SF | W 29-20 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 20 | 11 | -47% |
| 8 | @ TB | L 0-16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | +15% |
| 9 | vsCIN | 11/08 | Up next | -22% | ||||
| 10 | vs KC | 11/15 | Upcoming | -42% | ||||
| 11 | BYE | |||||||
| 12 | @ MIN | 11/29 | Upcoming | -9% | ||||
| 13 | vs DET | 12/06 | Upcoming | -47% | ||||
| 14 | @ CLE | 12/13 | Upcoming | +64% | ||||
| 15 | @ WAS | 12/20 | Upcoming | -27% | ||||
| 16 | vsTB | 12/27 | Upcoming | +15% | ||||
| 17 | vsNO | 01/03 | Upcoming | +24% | ||||
| 18 | @CAR | 01/10 | Upcoming | +19% | ||||
Scoring: 1 per sack, 2 per takeaway, 2 per safety or block, 6 per defensive/return TD, plus points-allowed tiers. Matchup % = how many D/ST points that offense usually gives up vs league (green = easier).