Atlanta Falcons D/ST
DST Team defense ▼ Cold
Games
2
2026 season
D/ST PPG
3.0
#21 of 32
Total pts
6.0
Next matchup · Week 3
Flex
@ Green Bay Packers offense
Projection 4.8 pts · Medium confidence · #20 of 32 defenses
- ATL defenses average 3.0 fantasy points over 2 games (2.0 sacks and 0.5 takeaways per game); blended with the league average of 5.8 to 4.7.
- The GB offense has given up 7.0 points per game to defenses vs a league average of 5.8, so 40% of that gap is applied (x1.08).
- Opposing offense injuries (x1.02): 3 opposing offensive lineman are out or questionable (Bako-Bewele, Banks, Jennings).
- Game environment (x0.93): Vegas total 43.5, implied 18.3 points for ATL (league avg 22.5); Underdog by 7: likely to pass more while trailing; Mild weather (57F, 5 mph wind): no weather adjustment.
- Chance of a 10+ point game: 8%. A statistical model, not injury or lineup news.
Game log & schedule
| Wk | Opp | Result | Sck | TO | TD | PA | FPts | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ PIT | L 13-20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 5 | +72% |
| 2 | vs CAR | L 3-34 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | -40% |
| 3 | @GB | 09/24 | Up next | +21% | ||||
| 4 | @ NO | 10/05 | Upcoming | +12% | ||||
| 5 | vs BAL | 10/11 | Upcoming | -31% | ||||
| 6 | vs CHI | 10/18 | Upcoming | +46% | ||||
| 7 | vs SF | 10/25 | Upcoming | -117% | ||||
| 8 | @ TB | 11/01 | Upcoming | +55% | ||||
| 9 | vs CIN | 11/08 | Upcoming | +21% | ||||
| 10 | vs KC | 11/15 | Upcoming | -66% | ||||
| 11 | BYE | |||||||
| 12 | @ MIN | 11/29 | Upcoming | -31% | ||||
| 13 | vs DET | 12/06 | Upcoming | -40% | ||||
| 14 | @ CLE | 12/13 | Upcoming | +29% | ||||
| 15 | @ WAS | 12/20 | Upcoming | -48% | ||||
| 16 | vsTB | 12/27 | Upcoming | +55% | ||||
| 17 | vsNO | 01/03 | Upcoming | +12% | ||||
| 18 | @CAR | 01/10 | Upcoming | -40% | ||||
Scoring: 1 per sack, 2 per takeaway, 2 per safety or block, 6 per defensive/return TD, plus points-allowed tiers. Matchup % = how many D/ST points that offense usually gives up vs league (green = easier).