Buffalo Bills D/ST
DST Team defense
Games
2
2026 season
D/ST PPG
5.5
#15 of 32
Total pts
11.0
Next matchup · Week 3
Start
vs Los Angeles Chargers offense
Projection 7.9 pts · Medium confidence · #10 of 32 defenses
- BUF defenses average 5.5 fantasy points over 2 games (3.5 sacks and 1.0 takeaways per game); blended with the league average of 5.8 to 5.7.
- The LAC offense has given up 10.0 points per game to defenses vs a league average of 5.8, so 40% of that gap is applied (x1.29).
- Opposing offense injuries (x1.05): 4 opposing offensive lineman are out or questionable (Awosika, Pipkins, Taylor).
- Game environment (x1.02): Vegas total 50.5, implied 28.8 points for BUF (league avg 22.5); Favored by 7: leaning run-heavy late; Mild weather (73F, 3 mph wind): no weather adjustment.
- Chance of a 10+ point game: 28%. A statistical model, not injury or lineup news.
Game log & schedule
| Wk | Opp | Result | Sck | TO | TD | PA | FPts | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ HOU | W 36-31 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 31 | 6 | +46% |
| 2 | vs DET | W 41-31 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 5 | -40% |
| 3 | vsLAC | 09/27 | Up next | +72% | ||||
| 4 | vs NE | 10/04 | Upcoming | +81% | ||||
| 5 | @ LA | 10/12 | Upcoming | +38% | ||||
| 6 | @ LV | 10/18 | Upcoming | -31% | ||||
| 7 | BYE | |||||||
| 8 | vs BAL | 11/01 | Upcoming | -31% | ||||
| 9 | @ MIN | 11/09 | Upcoming | -31% | ||||
| 10 | @ NYJ | 11/15 | Upcoming | -57% | ||||
| 11 | vs MIA | 11/22 | Upcoming | +81% | ||||
| 12 | vs KC | 11/26 | Upcoming | -66% | ||||
| 13 | @NE | 12/06 | Upcoming | +81% | ||||
| 14 | @ GB | 12/13 | Upcoming | +21% | ||||
| 15 | vs CHI | 12/19 | Upcoming | +46% | ||||
| 16 | @ DEN | 12/25 | Upcoming | +21% | ||||
| 17 | @MIA | 01/03 | Upcoming | +81% | ||||
| 18 | vsNYJ | 01/10 | Upcoming | -57% | ||||
Scoring: 1 per sack, 2 per takeaway, 2 per safety or block, 6 per defensive/return TD, plus points-allowed tiers. Matchup % = how many D/ST points that offense usually gives up vs league (green = easier).