Buffalo Bills D/ST

DST Team defense ▲ Hot

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Games

2026 season

D/ST PPG

5.3

#17 of 32

Total pts

37.0

Next matchup · Week 9

5/10 start

@ Minnesota Vikings offense

Projection 5.6 pts · Good confidence · #17 of 32 defenses

BUF defenses average 5.3 fantasy points over 7 games (2.1 sacks and 1.3 takeaways per game); blended with the league average of 5.7 to 5.4.
The MIN offense has given up 5.1 points per game to defenses vs a league average of 5.7, so 70% of that gap is applied (x0.94).
Opposing offense injuries (x1.05): Opposing quarterback Kyler Murray is questionable. 1 opposing offensive lineman is out or questionable (Darrisaw).
Game environment (x1.05): Vegas total 44.5, implied 23.8 points for BUF (league avg 22.6); Favored by 3: leaning run-heavy late; Indoors: no weather effect, a small boost for passing and kicking.
Chance of a 10+ point game: 14%. A statistical model, not injury or lineup news.

See how defenses have done vs MIN ›

Game log & schedule

Wk	Opp	Result	Sck	TO	TD	PA	FPts	Matchup
1	@HOU	W 36-31	3	2	0	31	6	-34%
2	vsDET	W 41-31	4	0	0	31	5	-47%
3	vsLAC	W 24-16	2	1	0	16	5	+87%
4	vsNE	L 26-29	1	2	0	29	4	+15%
5	@LA	W 37-34	1	0	0	34	2	-7%
6	@LV	W 33-30	0	1	0	30	1	-58%
7	BYE
8	vsBAL	W 36-10	4	3	0	10	14	+4%
9	@MIN	11/09	Up next					-9%
10	@NYJ	11/15	Upcoming					+4%
11	vsMIA	11/22	Upcoming					+39%
12	vsKC	11/26	Upcoming					-42%
13	@NE	12/06	Upcoming					+15%
14	@GB	12/13	Upcoming					-5%
15	vsCHI	12/19	Upcoming					+8%
16	@DEN	12/25	Upcoming					-45%
17	@MIA	01/03	Upcoming					+39%
18	vsNYJ	01/10	Upcoming					+4%

Scoring: 1 per sack, 2 per takeaway, 2 per safety or block, 6 per defensive/return TD, plus points-allowed tiers. Matchup % = how many D/ST points that offense usually gives up vs league (green = easier).