Carolina Panthers D/ST
DST Team defense ▲ Hot
Games
2
2026 season
D/ST PPG
12.5
#3 of 32
Total pts
25.0
Next matchup · Week 3
Must Start
@ Cleveland Browns offense
Projection 10.3 pts · Medium confidence · #3 of 32 defenses
- CAR defenses average 12.5 fantasy points over 2 games (2.0 sacks and 3.0 takeaways per game); blended with the league average of 5.8 to 8.5.
- The CLE offense has given up 7.5 points per game to defenses vs a league average of 5.8, so 40% of that gap is applied (x1.12).
- Opposing offense injuries (x1.01): 1 opposing offensive lineman is out or questionable (Jenkins).
- Game environment (x1.07): Vegas total 42.5, implied 22.8 points for CAR (league avg 22.5); Favored by 3: leaning run-heavy late; Mild weather (70F, 4 mph wind): no weather adjustment.
- Chance of a 10+ point game: 42%. A statistical model, not injury or lineup news.
Game log & schedule
| Wk | Opp | Result | Sck | TO | TD | PA | FPts | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs CHI | L 37-59 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 59 | 0 | +46% |
| 2 | @ ATL | W 34-3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 25 | +270% |
| 3 | @CLE | 09/27 | Up next | +29% | ||||
| 4 | vs DET | 10/04 | Upcoming | -40% | ||||
| 5 | BYE | |||||||
| 6 | @ PHI | 10/18 | Upcoming | -14% | ||||
| 7 | vs TB | 10/25 | Upcoming | +55% | ||||
| 8 | @ GB | 10/29 | Upcoming | +21% | ||||
| 9 | vs DEN | 11/08 | Upcoming | +21% | ||||
| 10 | @ NO | 11/15 | Upcoming | +12% | ||||
| 11 | vs BAL | 11/22 | Upcoming | -31% | ||||
| 12 | @TB | 11/30 | Upcoming | +55% | ||||
| 13 | @ MIN | 12/06 | Upcoming | -31% | ||||
| 14 | vsNO | 12/13 | Upcoming | +12% | ||||
| 15 | vs CIN | 12/20 | Upcoming | +21% | ||||
| 16 | @ PIT | 12/27 | Upcoming | +72% | ||||
| 17 | vs SEA | 01/03 | Upcoming | -31% | ||||
| 18 | vsATL | 01/10 | Upcoming | +270% | ||||
Scoring: 1 per sack, 2 per takeaway, 2 per safety or block, 6 per defensive/return TD, plus points-allowed tiers. Matchup % = how many D/ST points that offense usually gives up vs league (green = easier).