Denver Broncos D/ST
DST Team defense ▼ Cold
Games
8
2026 season
D/ST PPG
7.1
#7 of 32
Total pts
57.0
Next matchup · Week 9
7/10 start
@ Carolina Panthers offense
Projection 8.2 pts · Good confidence · #5 of 32 defenses
- DEN defenses average 7.1 fantasy points over 8 games (2.9 sacks and 1.3 takeaways per game); blended with the league average of 5.7 to 6.7.
- The CAR offense has given up 6.7 points per game to defenses vs a league average of 5.7, so 70% of that gap is applied (x1.13).
- Opposing offense injuries (x1.03): 4 opposing offensive lineman are out or questionable (Christensen, Simpkins, Lewis).
- Game environment (x1.04): Vegas total 44.5, implied 23.5 points for DEN (league avg 22.6); Mild weather (64F, 5 mph wind): no weather adjustment.
- Chance of a 10+ point game: 29%. A statistical model, not injury or lineup news.
Game log & schedule
| Wk | Opp | Result | Sck | TO | TD | PA | FPts | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ KC | L 10-31 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | -42% |
| 2 | vs JAX | W 20-13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 8 | -55% |
| 3 | vs LA | W 30-26 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 14 | -7% |
| 4 | @ SF | L 14-24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | -47% |
| 5 | @ LAC | W 23-17 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 12 | +87% |
| 6 | vs SEA | W 17-14 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 12 | +28% |
| 7 | @ ARI | W 30-16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 4 | +2% |
| 8 | vsKC | W 28-24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | -42% |
| 9 | @CAR | 11/08 | Up next | +19% | ||||
| 10 | BYE | |||||||
| 11 | vs LV | 11/22 | Upcoming | -58% | ||||
| 12 | @ PIT | 11/27 | Upcoming | +2% | ||||
| 13 | vs MIA | 12/06 | Upcoming | +39% | ||||
| 14 | @ NYJ | 12/13 | Upcoming | +4% | ||||
| 15 | @LV | 12/20 | Upcoming | -58% | ||||
| 16 | vs BUF | 12/25 | Upcoming | -55% | ||||
| 17 | @ NE | 01/03 | Upcoming | +15% | ||||
| 18 | vsLAC | 01/10 | Upcoming | +87% | ||||
Scoring: 1 per sack, 2 per takeaway, 2 per safety or block, 6 per defensive/return TD, plus points-allowed tiers. Matchup % = how many D/ST points that offense usually gives up vs league (green = easier).