Jacksonville Jaguars D/ST
DST Team defense ▼ Cold
Games
2
2026 season
D/ST PPG
8.0
#9 of 32
Total pts
16.0
Next matchup · Week 3
Must Start
vs New England Patriots offense
Projection 9.4 pts · Medium confidence · #4 of 32 defenses
- JAX defenses average 8.0 fantasy points over 2 games (2.5 sacks and 1.5 takeaways per game); blended with the league average of 5.8 to 6.7.
- The NE offense has given up 10.5 points per game to defenses vs a league average of 5.8, so 40% of that gap is applied (x1.32).
- Opposing offense injuries (x1.03): 2 opposing offensive lineman are out or questionable (Crownover, Onwenu).
- Game environment (x1.03): Vegas total 45.5, implied 24.3 points for JAX (league avg 22.5); Favored by 3: leaning run-heavy late; Mild weather (86F, 11 mph wind): no weather adjustment.
- Chance of a 10+ point game: 37%. A statistical model, not injury or lineup news.
Game log & schedule
| Wk | Opp | Result | Sck | TO | TD | PA | FPts | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs CLE | W 34-10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 13 | +29% |
| 2 | @ DEN | L 13-20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 3 | +21% |
| 3 | vsNE | 09/27 | Up next | +81% | ||||
| 4 | @ CIN | 10/04 | Upcoming | +21% | ||||
| 5 | vs PHI | 10/11 | Upcoming | -14% | ||||
| 6 | vs HOU | 10/18 | Upcoming | +46% | ||||
| 7 | BYE | |||||||
| 8 | vs IND | 11/01 | Upcoming | -40% | ||||
| 9 | @ BAL | 11/05 | Upcoming | -31% | ||||
| 10 | @ TEN | 11/15 | Upcoming | +3% | ||||
| 11 | @ NYG | 11/22 | Upcoming | -48% | ||||
| 12 | vsTEN | 11/29 | Upcoming | +3% | ||||
| 13 | @ CHI | 12/06 | Upcoming | +46% | ||||
| 14 | vs PIT | 12/14 | Upcoming | +72% | ||||
| 15 | @HOU | 12/20 | Upcoming | +46% | ||||
| 16 | @ DAL | 12/27 | Upcoming | -91% | ||||
| 17 | vs WAS | 01/03 | Upcoming | -48% | ||||
| 18 | @IND | 01/10 | Upcoming | -40% | ||||
Scoring: 1 per sack, 2 per takeaway, 2 per safety or block, 6 per defensive/return TD, plus points-allowed tiers. Matchup % = how many D/ST points that offense usually gives up vs league (green = easier).