
Jacksonville Jaguars D/ST
DST Team defense ▲ Hot
Games
7
2026 season
D/ST PPG
8.7
#4 of 32
Total pts
61.0
Next matchup · Week 9
10/10 start
@ Baltimore Ravens offense
Projection 9.8 pts · Good confidence · #1 of 32 defenses
- JAX defenses average 8.7 fantasy points over 7 games (2.0 sacks and 1.7 takeaways per game); blended with the league average of 5.7 to 7.8.
- The BAL offense has given up 5.9 points per game to defenses vs a league average of 5.7, so 73% of that gap is applied (x1.03).
- Game environment (x1.22): Vegas total 39.5, implied 24.8 points for JAX (league avg 22.6); Favored by 10: leaning run-heavy late; Rain likely (1.1 mm, 51% chance): teams run more, fewer big passes.
- Chance of a 10+ point game: 39%. A statistical model, not injury or lineup news.
Game log & schedule
| Wk | Opp | Result | Sck | TO | TD | PA | FPts | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs CLE | W 34-10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 13 | +64% |
| 2 | @ DEN | L 13-20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 3 | -45% |
| 3 | vs NE | W 35-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 15 | +15% |
| 4 | @ CIN | W 22-17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 7 | -22% |
| 5 | vs PHI | W 19-17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | +10% |
| 6 | vs HOU | L 31-34 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 34 | 1 | -34% |
| 7 | BYE | |||||||
| 8 | vs IND | W 42-7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 20 | +66% |
| 9 | @ BAL | 11/05 | Up next | +4% | ||||
| 10 | @ TEN | 11/15 | Upcoming | +15% | ||||
| 11 | @ NYG | 11/22 | Upcoming | +24% | ||||
| 12 | vs TEN | 11/29 | Upcoming | +15% | ||||
| 13 | @ CHI | 12/06 | Upcoming | +8% | ||||
| 14 | vs PIT | 12/14 | Upcoming | +2% | ||||
| 15 | @ HOU | 12/20 | Upcoming | -34% | ||||
| 16 | @ DAL | 12/27 | Upcoming | -47% | ||||
| 17 | vs WAS | 01/03 | Upcoming | -27% | ||||
| 18 | @ IND | 01/10 | Upcoming | +66% | ||||
Scoring: 1 per sack, 2 per takeaway, 2 per safety or block, 6 per defensive/return TD, plus points-allowed tiers. Matchup % = how many D/ST points that offense usually gives up vs league (green = easier).












