Kansas City Chiefs D/ST
DST Team defense ▼ Cold
Games
2
2026 season
D/ST PPG
6.0
#12 of 32
Total pts
12.0
Next matchup · Week 3
Start
@ Miami Dolphins offense
Projection 9.1 pts · Medium confidence · #6 of 32 defenses
- KC defenses average 6.0 fantasy points over 2 games (1.5 sacks and 1.5 takeaways per game); blended with the league average of 5.8 to 5.9.
- The MIA offense has given up 10.5 points per game to defenses vs a league average of 5.8, so 40% of that gap is applied (x1.32).
- Opposing offense injuries (x1.01): Opposing top target Caleb Douglas is questionable.
- Game environment (x1.16): Vegas total 45.5, implied 28.5 points for KC (league avg 22.5); Favored by 11.5: leaning run-heavy late; Rain likely (0.7 mm, 49% chance): teams run more, fewer big passes.
- Chance of a 10+ point game: 36%. A statistical model, not injury or lineup news.
Game log & schedule
| Wk | Opp | Result | Sck | TO | TD | PA | FPts | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs DEN | W 31-10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 11 | +21% |
| 2 | vs IND | W 33-30 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 1 | -40% |
| 3 | @MIA | 09/27 | Up next | +81% | ||||
| 4 | @ LV | 10/04 | Upcoming | -31% | ||||
| 5 | BYE | |||||||
| 6 | vs LAC | 10/18 | Upcoming | +72% | ||||
| 7 | @ SEA | 10/25 | Upcoming | -31% | ||||
| 8 | @DEN | 11/01 | Upcoming | +21% | ||||
| 9 | vs NYJ | 11/08 | Upcoming | -57% | ||||
| 10 | @ ATL | 11/15 | Upcoming | +270% | ||||
| 11 | vs ARI | 11/22 | Upcoming | -22% | ||||
| 12 | @ BUF | 11/26 | Upcoming | -134% | ||||
| 13 | @ LA | 12/03 | Upcoming | +38% | ||||
| 14 | @ CIN | 12/13 | Upcoming | +21% | ||||
| 15 | vs NE | 12/21 | Upcoming | +81% | ||||
| 16 | vs SF | 12/27 | Upcoming | -117% | ||||
| 17 | @LAC | 01/03 | Upcoming | +72% | ||||
| 18 | vsLV | 01/10 | Upcoming | -31% | ||||
Scoring: 1 per sack, 2 per takeaway, 2 per safety or block, 6 per defensive/return TD, plus points-allowed tiers. Matchup % = how many D/ST points that offense usually gives up vs league (green = easier).