SportsProof
LAC

Los Angeles Chargers D/ST

DST Team defense ▲ Hot

Games
2
2026 season
D/ST PPG
2.5
#27 of 32
Total pts
5.0
Next matchup · Week 3
Sit
BUF
@ Buffalo Bills offense
Projection 2.3 pts · Medium confidence · #31 of 32 defenses
  • LAC defenses average 2.5 fantasy points over 2 games (1.5 sacks and 0.5 takeaways per game); blended with the league average of 5.8 to 4.5.
  • The BUF offense has given up -2.0 points per game to defenses vs a league average of 5.8, so 40% of that gap is applied (x0.60).
  • Opposing offense injuries (x1.01): Opposing top target DJ Moore is questionable.
  • Game environment (x0.83): Vegas total 50.5, implied 21.8 points for LAC (league avg 22.5); Underdog by 7: likely to pass more while trailing; Mild weather (73F, 3 mph wind): no weather adjustment.
  • Chance of a 10+ point game: 1%. A statistical model, not injury or lineup news.
See how defenses have done vs BUF

Game log & schedule

WkOppResultSckTOTDPAFPtsMatchup
1vsARIARIL 14-26100261-22%
2vsLVLVL 14-26210264-31%
3@BUFBUF09/27Up next-134%
4@SEASEA10/04Upcoming-31%
5vsDENDEN10/11Upcoming+21%
6@KCKC10/18Upcoming-66%
7BYE
8@LALA11/01Upcoming+38%
9vsHOUHOU11/08Upcoming+46%
10@BALBAL11/16Upcoming-31%
11vsNYJNYJ11/22Upcoming-57%
12vsNENE11/29Upcoming+81%
13@TBTB12/06Upcoming+55%
14@LVLV12/13Upcoming-31%
15vsSFSF12/17Upcoming-117%
16@MIAMIA12/27Upcoming+81%
17vsKCKC01/03Upcoming-66%
18@DENDEN01/10Upcoming+21%

Scoring: 1 per sack, 2 per takeaway, 2 per safety or block, 6 per defensive/return TD, plus points-allowed tiers. Matchup % = how many D/ST points that offense usually gives up vs league (green = easier).