
Miami Dolphins D/ST
DST Team defense ▲ Hot
Games
7
2026 season
D/ST PPG
2.4
#31 of 32
Total pts
17.0
Next matchup · Week 9
1/10 start
vs Detroit Lions offense
Projection 1.9 pts · Good confidence · #32 of 32 defenses
- MIA defenses average 2.4 fantasy points over 7 games (1.3 sacks and 0.9 takeaways per game); blended with the league average of 5.7 to 3.4.
- The DET offense has given up 3.0 points per game to defenses vs a league average of 5.7, so 70% of that gap is applied (x0.67).
- Opposing offense injuries (x1.02): Opposing top target Amon-Ra St. Brown is questionable. 1 opposing offensive lineman is out or questionable (Mays).
- Game environment (x0.84): Vegas total 50.5, implied 21.8 points for MIA (league avg 22.6); Underdog by 7: likely to pass more while trailing; Mild weather (84F, 11 mph wind): no weather adjustment.
- Chance of a 10+ point game: 3%. A statistical model, not injury or lineup news.
Game log & schedule
| Wk | Opp | Result | Sck | TO | TD | PA | FPts | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ LV | L 13-27 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 4 | -58% |
| 2 | @ SF | L 13-35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | -4 | -47% |
| 3 | vs KC | L 10-24 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 2 | -42% |
| 4 | @ MIN | L 10-15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 5 | -9% |
| 5 | vs CIN | L 24-31 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 1 | -22% |
| 6 | BYE | |||||||
| 7 | @ NYJ | W 28-25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 4 | +4% |
| 8 | vs NE | L 19-24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 5 | +15% |
| 9 | vs DET | 11/08 | Up next | -47% | ||||
| 10 | @ IND | 11/15 | Upcoming | +66% | ||||
| 11 | @ BUF | 11/22 | Upcoming | -55% | ||||
| 12 | vs NYJ | 11/29 | Upcoming | +4% | ||||
| 13 | @ DEN | 12/06 | Upcoming | -45% | ||||
| 14 | vs CHI | 12/13 | Upcoming | +8% | ||||
| 15 | @ GB | 12/20 | Upcoming | -5% | ||||
| 16 | vs LAC | 12/27 | Upcoming | +87% | ||||
| 17 | vs BUF | 01/03 | Upcoming | -55% | ||||
| 18 | @ NE | 01/10 | Upcoming | +15% | ||||
Scoring: 1 per sack, 2 per takeaway, 2 per safety or block, 6 per defensive/return TD, plus points-allowed tiers. Matchup % = how many D/ST points that offense usually gives up vs league (green = easier).












