Minnesota Vikings D/ST
DST Team defense ▼ Cold
Games
7
2026 season
D/ST PPG
11.1
#1 of 32
Total pts
78.0
Next matchup · Week 9
5/10 start
vs Buffalo Bills offense
Projection 5.8 pts · Good confidence · #16 of 32 defenses
- MIN defenses average 11.1 fantasy points over 7 games (3.6 sacks and 1.7 takeaways per game); blended with the league average of 5.7 to 9.5.
- The BUF offense has given up 2.6 points per game to defenses vs a league average of 5.7, so 70% of that gap is applied (x0.62).
- Opposing offense injuries (x1.02): Opposing top target DJ Moore is questionable. 1 opposing offensive lineman is out or questionable (Brown).
- Game environment (x0.97): Vegas total 44.5, implied 20.8 points for MIN (league avg 22.6); Underdog by 3: likely to pass more while trailing; Indoors: no weather effect, a small boost for passing and kicking.
- Chance of a 10+ point game: 15%. A statistical model, not injury or lineup news.
Game log & schedule
| Wk | Opp | Result | Sck | TO | TD | PA | FPts | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs GB | W 39-22 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 8 | -5% |
| 2 | @ CHI | W 9-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | +8% |
| 3 | @ TB | W 23-16 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 17 | +15% |
| 4 | vs MIA | W 15-10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +39% |
| 5 | @ NO | W 23-13 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 11 | +24% |
| 6 | BYE | |||||||
| 7 | vs IND | W 16-10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | +66% |
| 8 | @ DET | L 15-19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 7 | -47% |
| 9 | vsBUF | 11/09 | Up next | -55% | ||||
| 10 | @GB | 11/15 | Upcoming | -5% | ||||
| 11 | @ SF | 11/22 | Upcoming | -47% | ||||
| 12 | vs ATL | 11/29 | Upcoming | +57% | ||||
| 13 | vs CAR | 12/06 | Upcoming | +19% | ||||
| 14 | @ NE | 12/10 | Upcoming | +15% | ||||
| 15 | vsDET | 12/20 | Upcoming | -47% | ||||
| 16 | vs WAS | 12/27 | Upcoming | -27% | ||||
| 17 | @ NYJ | 01/03 | Upcoming | +4% | ||||
| 18 | vsCHI | 01/10 | Upcoming | +8% | ||||
Scoring: 1 per sack, 2 per takeaway, 2 per safety or block, 6 per defensive/return TD, plus points-allowed tiers. Matchup % = how many D/ST points that offense usually gives up vs league (green = easier).