New England Patriots D/ST
DST Team defense
Games
8
2026 season
D/ST PPG
5.9
#12 of 32
Total pts
47.0
Next matchup · Week 9
5/10 start
vs Green Bay Packers offense
Projection 6.0 pts · Good confidence · #15 of 32 defenses
- NE defenses average 5.9 fantasy points over 8 games (2.8 sacks and 1.0 takeaways per game); blended with the league average of 5.7 to 5.8.
- The GB offense has given up 5.4 points per game to defenses vs a league average of 5.7, so 73% of that gap is applied (x0.96).
- Opposing offense injuries (x1.03): Opposing top target Christian Watson is questionable. 3 opposing offensive lineman are out or questionable (Banks, Rhyan, Glover).
- Game environment (x1.04): Vegas total 45.5, implied 24.3 points for NE (league avg 22.6); Favored by 3: leaning run-heavy late; Mild weather (48F, 11 mph wind): no weather adjustment.
- Chance of a 10+ point game: 16%. A statistical model, not injury or lineup news.
Game log & schedule
| Wk | Opp | Result | Sck | TO | TD | PA | FPts | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ SEA | L 10-13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | +28% |
| 2 | vs PIT | W 20-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | +2% |
| 3 | @ JAX | L 6-35 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 35 | -1 | -55% |
| 4 | @ BUF | W 29-26 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 5 | -55% |
| 5 | vs LV | W 45-17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 6 | -58% |
| 6 | vs NYJ | W 26-19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 6 | +4% |
| 7 | @ CHI | L 24-30 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | +8% |
| 8 | @ MIA | W 24-19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 8 | +39% |
| 9 | vsGB | 11/08 | Up next | -5% | ||||
| 10 | @ DET | 11/15 | Upcoming | -47% | ||||
| 11 | BYE | |||||||
| 12 | @ LAC | 11/29 | Upcoming | +87% | ||||
| 13 | vsBUF | 12/06 | Upcoming | -55% | ||||
| 14 | vs MIN | 12/10 | Upcoming | -9% | ||||
| 15 | @ KC | 12/21 | Upcoming | -42% | ||||
| 16 | @NYJ | 12/27 | Upcoming | +4% | ||||
| 17 | vs DEN | 01/03 | Upcoming | -45% | ||||
| 18 | vsMIA | 01/10 | Upcoming | +39% | ||||
Scoring: 1 per sack, 2 per takeaway, 2 per safety or block, 6 per defensive/return TD, plus points-allowed tiers. Matchup % = how many D/ST points that offense usually gives up vs league (green = easier).