New England Patriots D/ST
DST Team defense ▲ Hot
Games
2
2026 season
D/ST PPG
10.5
#6 of 32
Total pts
21.0
Next matchup · Week 3
Flex
@ Jacksonville Jaguars offense
Projection 6.4 pts · Medium confidence · #13 of 32 defenses
- NE defenses average 10.5 fantasy points over 2 games (3.0 sacks and 1.0 takeaways per game); blended with the league average of 5.8 to 7.7.
- The JAX offense has given up 4.0 points per game to defenses vs a league average of 5.8, so 40% of that gap is applied (x0.88).
- Game environment (x0.95): Vegas total 45.5, implied 21.3 points for NE (league avg 22.5); Underdog by 3: likely to pass more while trailing; Mild weather (86F, 11 mph wind): no weather adjustment.
- Chance of a 10+ point game: 18%. A statistical model, not injury or lineup news.
Game log & schedule
| Wk | Opp | Result | Sck | TO | TD | PA | FPts | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ SEA | L 10-13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | -31% |
| 2 | vs PIT | W 20-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | +72% |
| 3 | @JAX | 09/27 | Up next | -31% | ||||
| 4 | @ BUF | 10/04 | Upcoming | -134% | ||||
| 5 | vs LV | 10/11 | Upcoming | -31% | ||||
| 6 | vs NYJ | 10/18 | Upcoming | -57% | ||||
| 7 | @ CHI | 10/22 | Upcoming | +46% | ||||
| 8 | @ MIA | 11/01 | Upcoming | +81% | ||||
| 9 | vs GB | 11/08 | Upcoming | +21% | ||||
| 10 | @ DET | 11/15 | Upcoming | -40% | ||||
| 11 | BYE | |||||||
| 12 | @ LAC | 11/29 | Upcoming | +72% | ||||
| 13 | vsBUF | 12/06 | Upcoming | -134% | ||||
| 14 | vs MIN | 12/10 | Upcoming | -31% | ||||
| 15 | @ KC | 12/21 | Upcoming | -66% | ||||
| 16 | @NYJ | 12/27 | Upcoming | -57% | ||||
| 17 | vs DEN | 01/03 | Upcoming | +21% | ||||
| 18 | vsMIA | 01/10 | Upcoming | +81% | ||||
Scoring: 1 per sack, 2 per takeaway, 2 per safety or block, 6 per defensive/return TD, plus points-allowed tiers. Matchup % = how many D/ST points that offense usually gives up vs league (green = easier).