Tampa Bay Buccaneers D/ST
DST Team defense ▼ Cold
Games
2
2026 season
D/ST PPG
5.0
#16 of 32
Total pts
10.0
Next matchup · Week 3
Flex
vs Minnesota Vikings offense
Projection 4.9 pts · Medium confidence · #19 of 32 defenses
- TB defenses average 5.0 fantasy points over 2 games (1.5 sacks and 0.5 takeaways per game); blended with the league average of 5.8 to 5.5.
- The MIN offense has given up 4.0 points per game to defenses vs a league average of 5.8, so 40% of that gap is applied (x0.88).
- Opposing offense injuries (x1.01): Opposing lead back Aaron Jones is questionable.
- Game environment (x1.00): Vegas total 42.5, implied 20.0 points for TB (league avg 22.5); Mild weather (87F, 7 mph wind): no weather adjustment.
- Chance of a 10+ point game: 8%. A statistical model, not injury or lineup news.
Game log & schedule
| Wk | Opp | Result | Sck | TO | TD | PA | FPts | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ CIN | L 27-33 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 8 | +21% |
| 2 | vs CLE | L 19-23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | +29% |
| 3 | vsMIN | 09/27 | Up next | -31% | ||||
| 4 | vs GB | 10/04 | Upcoming | +21% | ||||
| 5 | @ DAL | 10/08 | Upcoming | -91% | ||||
| 6 | vs PIT | 10/18 | Upcoming | +72% | ||||
| 7 | @ CAR | 10/25 | Upcoming | -40% | ||||
| 8 | vs ATL | 11/01 | Upcoming | +270% | ||||
| 9 | @ CHI | 11/08 | Upcoming | +46% | ||||
| 10 | BYE | |||||||
| 11 | @ DET | 11/22 | Upcoming | -40% | ||||
| 12 | vsCAR | 11/30 | Upcoming | -40% | ||||
| 13 | vs LAC | 12/06 | Upcoming | +72% | ||||
| 14 | @ BAL | 12/13 | Upcoming | -31% | ||||
| 15 | vs NO | 12/20 | Upcoming | +12% | ||||
| 16 | @ATL | 12/27 | Upcoming | +270% | ||||
| 17 | vs LA | 01/03 | Upcoming | +38% | ||||
| 18 | @NO | 01/10 | Upcoming | +12% | ||||
Scoring: 1 per sack, 2 per takeaway, 2 per safety or block, 6 per defensive/return TD, plus points-allowed tiers. Matchup % = how many D/ST points that offense usually gives up vs league (green = easier).