Tampa Bay Buccaneers D/ST
DST Team defense ▲ Hot
Games
8
2026 season
D/ST PPG
8.9
#3 of 32
Total pts
71.0
Next matchup · Week 9
7/10 start
@ Chicago Bears offense
Projection 7.7 pts · Good confidence · #8 of 32 defenses
- TB defenses average 8.9 fantasy points over 8 games (2.0 sacks and 2.0 takeaways per game); blended with the league average of 5.7 to 8.0.
- The CHI offense has given up 6.1 points per game to defenses vs a league average of 5.7, so 73% of that gap is applied (x1.06).
- Opposing offense injuries (x1.02): 2 opposing offensive lineman are out or questionable (Jones, Benedet).
- Game environment (x0.89): Vegas total 47.5, implied 20.8 points for TB (league avg 22.6); Underdog by 6: likely to pass more while trailing; Mild weather (55F, 9 mph wind): no weather adjustment.
- Chance of a 10+ point game: 27%. A statistical model, not injury or lineup news.
Game log & schedule
| Wk | Opp | Result | Sck | TO | TD | PA | FPts | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ CIN | L 27-33 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 8 | -22% |
| 2 | vs CLE | L 19-23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | +64% |
| 3 | vs MIN | L 16-23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 5 | -9% |
| 4 | vs GB | L 14-17 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 5 | -5% |
| 5 | @ DAL | W 24-16 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 7 | -47% |
| 6 | vs PIT | L 19-26 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 7 | +2% |
| 7 | @ CAR | W 43-13 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 19 | +19% |
| 8 | vs ATL | W 16-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | +57% |
| 9 | @CHI | 11/08 | Up next | +8% | ||||
| 10 | BYE | |||||||
| 11 | @ DET | 11/22 | Upcoming | -47% | ||||
| 12 | vsCAR | 11/30 | Upcoming | +19% | ||||
| 13 | vs LAC | 12/06 | Upcoming | +87% | ||||
| 14 | @ BAL | 12/13 | Upcoming | +4% | ||||
| 15 | vs NO | 12/20 | Upcoming | +24% | ||||
| 16 | @ATL | 12/27 | Upcoming | +57% | ||||
| 17 | vs LA | 01/03 | Upcoming | -7% | ||||
| 18 | @NO | 01/10 | Upcoming | +24% | ||||
Scoring: 1 per sack, 2 per takeaway, 2 per safety or block, 6 per defensive/return TD, plus points-allowed tiers. Matchup % = how many D/ST points that offense usually gives up vs league (green = easier).