
Washington Commanders D/ST
DST Team defense ▲ Hot
Games
7
2026 season
D/ST PPG
5.7
#15 of 32
Total pts
40.0
Next matchup · Week 9
5/10 start
vs Los Angeles Rams offense
Projection 5.0 pts · Good confidence · #19 of 32 defenses
- WAS defenses average 5.7 fantasy points over 7 games (2.3 sacks and 1.4 takeaways per game); blended with the league average of 5.7 to 5.7.
- The LA offense has given up 5.3 points per game to defenses vs a league average of 5.7, so 73% of that gap is applied (x0.95).
- Opposing offense injuries (x1.04): Opposing top target Davante Adams is on IR. 1 opposing offensive lineman is out or questionable (Avila).
- Game environment (x0.90): Vegas total 48.5, implied 22.0 points for WAS (league avg 22.6); Underdog by 4.5: likely to pass more while trailing; Wind about 12 mph: hurts passing and kicking.
- Chance of a 10+ point game: 14%. A statistical model, not injury or lineup news.
Game log & schedule
| Wk | Opp | Result | Sck | TO | TD | PA | FPts | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ PHI | L 22-24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 3 | +10% |
| 2 | @ DAL | L 20-37 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 37 | -2 | -47% |
| 3 | vs SEA | W 33-31 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 11 | +28% |
| 4 | vs IND | L 13-30 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 5 | +66% |
| 5 | vs NYG | T 27-27 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 6 | +24% |
| 6 | @ SF | L 17-23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 4 | -47% |
| 7 | BYE | |||||||
| 8 | vs PHI | W 27-10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 13 | +10% |
| 9 | vs LA | 11/08 | Up next | -7% | ||||
| 10 | @ NYG | 11/12 | Upcoming | +24% | ||||
| 11 | vs CIN | 11/23 | Upcoming | -22% | ||||
| 12 | @ ARI | 11/29 | Upcoming | +2% | ||||
| 13 | @ TEN | 12/06 | Upcoming | +15% | ||||
| 14 | vs HOU | 12/13 | Upcoming | -34% | ||||
| 15 | vs ATL | 12/20 | Upcoming | +57% | ||||
| 16 | @ MIN | 12/27 | Upcoming | -9% | ||||
| 17 | @ JAX | 01/03 | Upcoming | -55% | ||||
| 18 | vs DAL | 01/10 | Upcoming | -47% | ||||
Scoring: 1 per sack, 2 per takeaway, 2 per safety or block, 6 per defensive/return TD, plus points-allowed tiers. Matchup % = how many D/ST points that offense usually gives up vs league (green = easier).












