TEs vs Jacksonville Jaguars
As of Week 2 · through 1 game · PPR
Showing every TE who had a role in each game.
| Wk | Team | Player | Slot | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CLE | Harold Fannin Jr. | TE1 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 4.1 |
| Blake Whiteheart | TE2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 2.4 | ||
| Average | 2.0 | 1.5 | 17.5 | 0.0 | 3.3 | |||
| Median | 2.0 | 1.5 | 17.5 | 0.0 | 3.3 | |||
| High | 3 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 4.1 | |||
| Low | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 2.4 | |||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How Nate Adkins should do vs the JaguarsSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Jaguars, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game Nate Adkins has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Jaguars opponents to line them up with: the best TE they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Nate Adkins will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Jaguars avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Nate Adkins's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Nate Adkins usually produces.
Projected is Nate Adkins's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Jaguars were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | JAX | 3 | 3 | 32 | 1 | 12.8 |
| Adkins avg | 3.0 | 3.0 | 32.0 | 1.0 | 12.8 | |
| Jaguars All avg | 2.0 | 1.5 | 17.5 | 0.0 | 3.3 | |
| Difference | -1.0 | -1.5 | -14.5 | -1.0 | -9.6 | |
| Projected | 2.8 | 2.8 | 29.7 | 0.9 | 5.7 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Adkins averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
Start / Sit · Nate AdkinsMedium confidence · 5.7 proj ptsSit
Nate Adkins usually plays as the team's TE1, so the verdict uses the TE1 numbers, not the slot selected above.
- Nate Adkins averages 12.8 PPR points over 1 game (recent-weighted 12.8) and has played as the team's TE1.
- The Jaguars have allowed 8.4 points to TE1s over 2 games (-18% vs league). The model applies 40% of that gap because the sample is small, giving a -7% adjustment.
- Last season's average (2.8) is blended in at 67% weight because this season's sample is small.
- Projection: 5.7 points.
- For reference, a typical weekly starter-level TE scores about 13.1 and a top-tier one about 19.6.
- A statistical model from box scores, Vegas lines, weather and injury tags. It cannot see role changes or in-game events.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- all TEs have averaged 1.5 receptions, 17.5 receiving yards and 0.0 receiving TDs per player-game against the Jaguars across 1 game.
- The Jaguars allow 6.5 PPR points to the position per game, -51% versus the league average of 13.3 (ranked 27 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a tough matchup.
- 0 of 2 player-games reached 7+ PPR points. Scores range from 2.4 to 4.1 (median 3.3).
- all TEs scored a touchdown in 0 of 2 player-games (0%).
- Small sample: only 1 game so far. Treat these numbers as directional, not settled.
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.