WRs vs Cleveland Browns
As of Week 7 · through 2 games · PPR
WR1 = the highest-scoring WR against Browns in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.
| Wk | Team | Player | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  JAX | Parker Washington | 6 | 5 | 83 | 1 | 19.3 |
| 2 |  TB | Emeka Egbuka | 5 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 10.3 |
| Average | 5.5 | 4.0 | 49.5 | 1.0 | 14.8 | ||
| Median | 5.5 | 4.0 | 49.5 | 1.0 | 14.8 | ||
| High | 6 | 5 | 83 | 1 | 19.3 | ||
| Low | 5 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 10.3 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
Prediction & chance to scoreCarnell Tate vs the Browns
Prediction for Carnell Tate
Nobody knows which slot Carnell Tate will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Browns.
I predict about 8.6 points for Carnell Tate if playing as a WR3. Carnell Tate has averaged 6.8 over 2 games, and the Browns have given up 8.0 to WR3s (+74% vs the league average of 4.6).
How this projection is built
1. The player. Carnell Tate scored: Wk 1 7.8, Wk 2 5.7. Average 6.8; weighted toward recent games it is 6.6.
2. The defense. Over 2 games, the Browns allowed 8.0 points to their opponent's WR3. The league average for that slot is 4.6, so that is +74%.
3. Trusting small samples less. With 2 defensive games, only 40% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a +30% adjustment (x1.30).
4. Result. 6.6 x 1.30 = 8.6. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.
It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.
Chance to score
Type a point total to see how likely Carnell Tate is to reach it as a WR3.
Why this percentage?
The projection (8.6) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 5.2 points, leaning on Carnell Tate's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical WR swings before that).
Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 9.
With only 2 games of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- WR1s have averaged 4.0 receptions, 49.5 receiving yards and 1.0 receiving TDs against the Browns across 2 games.
- The Browns allow 14.8 PPR points to WR1s, -13% versus the league average of 17.0 (ranked 19 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a tough matchup.
- 2 of 2 games reached 10+ PPR points. Scores range from 10.3 to 19.3 (median 14.8).
- WR1s scored a touchdown in 2 of 2 games (100%).
- Small sample: only 2 games so far. Treat these numbers as directional, not settled.
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.
What do these columns mean?
- Wk
- Week of the season
- Tgt
- Targets (passes thrown to the player)
- Rec
- Receptions
- ReYd
- Receiving yards
- ReTD
- Receiving touchdowns
- Car
- Carries (rushing attempts)
- RuYd
- Rushing yards
- RuTD
- Rushing touchdowns
- Cmp / Att
- Completions and pass attempts
- PaYd / PaTD
- Passing yards and touchdowns
- INT
- Interceptions thrown
- FGM / FGA
- Field goals made and attempted
- FPts
- Fantasy points in your scoring format
- Sck / TO
- Defense: sacks and takeaways
- PA
- Points allowed by a defense
- G
- Games in the sample
- vs Lg
- Percent above or below the league average
Start / Sit · Carnell TateMedium confidence · 8.6 proj ptsSit
Carnell Tate usually plays as the team's WR3, so the verdict uses the WR3 numbers, not the slot selected above.
- Carnell Tate averages 6.8 PPR points over 2 games (recent-weighted 6.6) and has played as the team's WR3.
- The Browns have allowed 8.0 points to WR3s over 2 games (+74% vs league). The model applies 40% of that gap because the sample is small, giving a +30% adjustment.
- Projection: 8.6 points.
- For reference, a typical weekly starter-level WR scores about 11.8 and a top-tier one about 20.8.
- A statistical model from box scores, Vegas lines, weather and injury tags. It cannot see role changes or in-game events.
Carnell Tate's stats vs the BrownsSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Browns, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game Carnell Tate has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Browns opponents to line them up with: the best WR they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Carnell Tate will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Browns avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Carnell Tate's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Carnell Tate usually produces.
Projected is Carnell Tate's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Browns were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYJ | 6 | 4 | 38 | 0 | 7.8 |
| 2 | PHI | 5 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 5.7 |
| Tate avg | 5.5 | 3.5 | 32.5 | 0.0 | 6.8 | |
| Browns WR1 avg | 5.5 | 4.0 | 49.5 | 1.0 | 14.8 | |
| Difference | +0.0 | +0.5 | +17.0 | +1.0 | +8.1 | |
| Projected as WR1 | 5.2 | 3.3 | 30.8 | 0.0 | 6.3 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Tate averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.