Mo Alie-Cox
TE
Indianapolis Colts
This is how TEs have played against the Titans in the 2026 season.
TE1 = the highest-scoring TE against Titans in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.
| Wk | Team | Player | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  NYJ | Kenyon Sadiq | 3 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 11.4 |
| 2 |  PHI | Johnny Mundt | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 2.8 |
| 3 |  NYG | Isaiah Likely | 5 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 3.3 |
| 4 |  BAL | Mark Andrews | 6 | 5 | 27 | 1 | 13.7 |
| 5 |  HOU | Dalton Schultz | 4 | 3 | 30 | 0 | 6.0 |
| Average | 4.2 | 3.0 | 19.8 | 0.2 | 7.4 | ||
| Median | 4.0 | 3.0 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | ||
| High | 6 | 5 | 30 | 1 | 13.7 | ||
| Low | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 2.8 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How Mo Alie-Cox should do vs the TitansSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Titans, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game Mo Alie-Cox has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Titans opponents to line them up with: the best TE they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Mo Alie-Cox will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Titans avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Mo Alie-Cox's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Mo Alie-Cox usually produces.
Projected is Mo Alie-Cox's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Titans were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | HOU | 1 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 2.6 |
| 5 | PIT | 2 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 3.4 |
| 6 | TEN | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7.1 |
| 7 | MIN | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Alie-Cox avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7.8 | 0.3 | 3.3 | |
| Titans TE1 avg | 4.2 | 3.0 | 19.8 | 0.2 | 7.4 | |
| Difference | +2.7 | +2.0 | +12.1 | -0.0 | +4.2 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Alie-Cox averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
Prediction & chance to scoreMo Alie-Cox vs the Titans
Prediction for Mo Alie-Cox
Nobody knows which slot Mo Alie-Cox will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Titans.
I predict about 2.4 points for Mo Alie-Cox if playing as a TE1. Mo Alie-Cox has averaged 3.0 over 2 games, and the Titans have given up 7.4 to TE1s (-29% vs the league average of 10.4).
How this projection is built
1. The player. Mo Alie-Cox scored: Wk 3 2.6, Wk 5 3.4. Average 3.0; weighted toward recent games it is 2.9.
2. The defense. Over 5 games, the Titans allowed 7.4 points to their opponent's TE1. The league average for that slot is 10.4, so that is -29%.
3. Trusting small samples less. With 5 defensive games, only 63% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a -18% adjustment (x0.82).
4. Result. 2.9 x 0.82 = 2.4. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.
It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.
Chance to score
Type a point total to see how likely Mo Alie-Cox is to reach it as a TE1.
Why this percentage?
The projection (2.4) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 1.4 points, leaning on Mo Alie-Cox's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical TE swings before that).
Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 2.
With only 2 games of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- TE1s have averaged 3.0 receptions, 19.8 receiving yards and 0.2 receiving TDs against the Titans across 5 games.
- The Titans allow 7.4 PPR points to TE1s, -29% versus the league average of 10.4 (ranked 27 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a tough matchup.
- Outlier: Week 4, Mark Andrews (13.7 pts) sits far above the other games and pulls the averages up. Average with it vs without it: pts 7.4 vs 5.9. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- Outlier: Week 3, Isaiah Likely (3.3 pts) sits far below the other games and drags the averages down. Average with it vs without it: pts 7.4 vs 8.5. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- 2 of 5 games reached 7+ PPR points. Scores range from 2.8 to 13.7 (median 6.0).
- TE1s scored a touchdown in 2 of 5 games (40%).
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.