Tim Patrick
WR
New York Jets
- Teammate Garrett Wilson (a top target) is questionable.
A hurt top target or lead back nudges the projection up a little, since their work tends to shift to teammates. QB and offensive-line flags are shown for context but do not change the number.
This is how WRs have played against the Lions in the 2026 season.
WR3 = the third-highest-scoring WR against Lions in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.
| Wk | Team | Player | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  NO | Bryce Lance | 4 | 3 | 42 | 0 | 7.2 |
| 2 |  BUF | Khalil Shakir | 6 | 3 | 38 | 0 | 6.8 |
| Average | 5.0 | 3.0 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | ||
| Median | 5.0 | 3.0 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | ||
| High | 6 | 3 | 42 | 0 | 7.2 | ||
| Low | 4 | 3 | 38 | 0 | 6.8 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How Tim Patrick should do vs the LionsSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Lions, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game Tim Patrick has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Lions opponents to line them up with: the best WR they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Tim Patrick will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Lions avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Tim Patrick's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Tim Patrick usually produces.
Projected is Tim Patrick's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Lions were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | CLE | 3 | 2 | 26 | 0 | 4.6 |
| 6 | NE | 3 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 2.5 |
| Patrick avg | 3.0 | 1.5 | 20.5 | 0.0 | 3.5 | |
| Lions WR3 avg | 5.0 | 3.0 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | |
| Difference | +2.0 | +1.5 | +19.5 | +0.0 | +3.5 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Patrick averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- WR3s have averaged 3.0 receptions, 40.0 receiving yards and 0.0 receiving TDs against the Lions across 2 games.
- The Lions allow 7.0 PPR points to WR3s, +56% versus the league average of 4.5 (ranked 6 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a favorable matchup.
- 0 of 2 games reached 10+ PPR points. Scores range from 6.8 to 7.2 (median 7.0).
- Every WR3 in the sample cleared 30 receiving yards.
- WR3s scored a touchdown in 0 of 2 games (0%).
- Small sample: only 2 games so far. Treat these numbers as directional, not settled.
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.