SportsProof
Joshua Dobbs

Joshua Dobbs

QBDETDetroit Lions

Other QBs on DET
Heads up
  • Top target Amon-Ra St. Brown is questionable, which can lower the passing game.

A hurt top target or lead back nudges the projection up a little, since their work tends to shift to teammates. QB and offensive-line flags are shown for context but do not change the number.

Games
0
2026 season
PPR PPG
–
Total pts
0.0

This is how QBs have played against the Falcons in the 2026 season.

WkTeamPlayerCmpAttPaYdPaTDINTCarRuYdRuTDFPts
1PITPITAaron Rodgers2440221103-3012.5
2CARCARBryce Young23362873016024.1
3GBGBJordan Love28533122110018.5
4NONOTyler Shough30482861025015.9
5BALBALTyler Huntley243220120620124.0
6CHICHICaleb Williams30363051043016.5
7SFSFBrock Purdy27402881225012.0
8TBTBBaker Mayfield0300041401.4
Average23.336.0237.51.40.42.96.30.115.6
Median25.538.0286.51.00.02.55.00.016.2
High305331232620124.1
Low030001-301.4

Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.

QB1 avg pts
15.6
PPR per game
Rank
21
of 32 (1 = most allowed)
vs League
-5%
lg avg 16.5
Start / Sit · Joshua DobbsLow confidence · 0.5 proj pts1/10 start
  • The Falcons have allowed 15.6 points to QB1s over 8 games (+0% vs league). The model applies 73% of that gap because the sample is small, giving a +0% adjustment.
  • No games yet this season, so this uses last season's average (0.5).
  • Projection: 0.5 points.
  • For reference, a typical weekly starter-level QB scores about 19.1 and a top-tier one about 23.8.
  • Confidence is low: too few games for either the player or the defense. Use this as a rough lean, not a lock.
  • A statistical model from box scores, Vegas lines, weather and injury tags. It cannot see role changes or in-game events.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
  • QB1s have averaged 237.5 passing yards, 1.4 passing TDs and 6.3 rushing yards against the Falcons across 8 games.
  • The Falcons allow 15.6 PPR points to QB1s, -5% versus the league average of 16.5 (ranked 21 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a near-average matchup.
  • Outlier: Week 8, Baker Mayfield (1.4 pts, 0 pass yds) sits far below the other games and drags the averages down. Average with it vs without it: pts 15.6 vs 17.7; pass yds 237.5 vs 271.4. The table above keeps the raw averages.
  • Outlier: Week 2, Bryce Young (24.1 pts) sits far above the other games and pulls the averages up. Average with it vs without it: pts 15.6 vs 14.4. The table above keeps the raw averages.
  • 5 of 8 games reached 15+ PPR points. Scores range from 1.4 to 24.1 (median 16.2).
  • QB1s scored a touchdown in 7 of 8 games (88%).

Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.