Marquez Valdes-Scantling
WR
Los Angeles Chargers
This is how WRs have played against the Seahawks in the 2026 season.
WR3 = the third-highest-scoring WR against Seahawks in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.
| Wk | Team | Player | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  NE | A.J. Brown | 4 | 3 | 26 | 0 | 5.6 |
| 2 |  ARI | Marvin Harrison Jr. | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 3 |  WAS | Stefon Diggs | 7 | 4 | 33 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Average | 4.0 | 2.3 | 19.7 | 0.0 | 4.3 | ||
| Median | 4.0 | 3.0 | 26.0 | 0.0 | 5.6 | ||
| High | 7 | 4 | 33 | 0 | 7.3 | ||
| Low | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How Marquez Valdes-Scantling should do vs the SeahawksSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Seahawks, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game Marquez Valdes-Scantling has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Seahawks opponents to line them up with: the best WR they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Marquez Valdes-Scantling will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Seahawks avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Marquez Valdes-Scantling's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Marquez Valdes-Scantling usually produces.
Projected is Marquez Valdes-Scantling's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Seahawks were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | BUF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 4 | SEA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 5 | DEN | 3 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 4.2 |
| Valdes-Scantling avg | 1.7 | 0.7 | 7.3 | 0.0 | 1.4 | |
| Seahawks WR3 avg | 4.0 | 2.3 | 19.7 | 0.0 | 4.3 | |
| Difference | +2.3 | +1.7 | +12.3 | +0.0 | +2.9 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Valdes-Scantling averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
Prediction & chance to scoreMarquez Valdes-Scantling vs the Seahawks
Prediction for Marquez Valdes-Scantling
Nobody knows which slot Marquez Valdes-Scantling will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Seahawks.
I predict about 2.3 points for Marquez Valdes-Scantling if playing as a WR3. Marquez Valdes-Scantling has averaged 0.0 over 1 game, and the Seahawks have given up 4.3 to WR3s (-6% vs the league average of 4.6).
How this projection is built
1. The player. Marquez Valdes-Scantling scored: Wk 3 0.0. Average 0.0; weighted toward recent games it is 2.4.
2. The defense. Over 3 games, the Seahawks allowed 4.3 points to their opponent's WR3. The league average for that slot is 4.6, so that is -6%.
3. Trusting small samples less. With 3 defensive games, only 50% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a -3% adjustment (x0.97).
4. Result. 2.4 x 0.97 = 2.3. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.
It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.
Chance to score
Type a point total to see how likely Marquez Valdes-Scantling is to reach it as a WR3.
Why this percentage?
The projection (2.3) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 1.4 points, leaning on Marquez Valdes-Scantling's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical WR swings before that).
Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 2.
With only 1 game of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- WR3s have averaged 2.3 receptions, 19.7 receiving yards and 0.0 receiving TDs against the Seahawks across 3 games.
- The Seahawks allow 4.3 PPR points to WR3s, -6% versus the league average of 4.6 (ranked 21 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a near-average matchup.
- Outlier: Week 2, Marvin Harrison Jr. (0.0 pts, 0 rec) sits far below the other games and drags the averages down. Average with it vs without it: pts 4.3 vs 6.4; rec 2.3 vs 3.5. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- 0 of 3 games reached 10+ PPR points. Scores range from 0.0 to 7.3 (median 5.6).
- WR3s scored a touchdown in 0 of 3 games (0%).
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.