Dalton Schultz
TE
Houston Texans
This is how TEs have played against the Cowboys in the 2026 season.
TE1 = the highest-scoring TE against Cowboys in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.
| Wk | Team | Player | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  NYG | Isaiah Likely | 8 | 8 | 78 | 2 | 27.8 |
| 2 |  WAS | Colson Yankoff | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 2.4 |
| 3 |  BAL | Matthew Hibner | 2 | 2 | 23 | 1 | 10.3 |
| Average | 3.7 | 3.7 | 38.3 | 1.0 | 13.5 | ||
| Median | 2.0 | 2.0 | 23.0 | 1.0 | 10.3 | ||
| High | 8 | 8 | 78 | 2 | 27.8 | ||
| Low | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 2.4 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How Dalton Schultz should do vs the CowboysSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Cowboys, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game Dalton Schultz has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Cowboys opponents to line them up with: the best TE they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Dalton Schultz will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Cowboys avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Dalton Schultz's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Dalton Schultz usually produces.
Projected is Dalton Schultz's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Cowboys were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF | 8 | 4 | 35 | 0 | 7.5 |
| 2 | CIN | 14 | 12 | 140 | 0 | 26.0 |
| 3 | IND | 3 | 3 | 30 | 0 | 6.0 |
| 4 | DAL | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 2.9 |
| 5 | TEN | 4 | 3 | 30 | 0 | 6.0 |
| 6 | JAX | 6 | 4 | 33 | 0 | 7.3 |
| 7 | NYG | 6 | 5 | 45 | 0 | 9.5 |
| Schultz avg | 6.1 | 4.7 | 46.0 | 0.0 | 9.3 | |
| Cowboys TE1 avg | 3.7 | 3.7 | 38.3 | 1.0 | 13.5 | |
| Difference | -2.5 | -1.0 | -7.7 | +1.0 | +4.2 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Schultz averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
Prediction & chance to scoreDalton Schultz vs the Cowboys
Prediction for Dalton Schultz
Nobody knows which slot Dalton Schultz will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Cowboys.
I predict about 13.7 points for Dalton Schultz if playing as a TE1. Dalton Schultz has averaged 13.2 over 3 games, and the Cowboys have given up 13.5 to TE1s (+29% vs the league average of 10.5).
How this projection is built
1. The player. Dalton Schultz scored: Wk 1 7.5, Wk 2 26.0, Wk 3 6.0. Average 13.2; weighted toward recent games it is 12.0.
2. The defense. Over 3 games, the Cowboys allowed 13.5 points to their opponent's TE1. The league average for that slot is 10.5, so that is +29%.
3. Trusting small samples less. With 3 defensive games, only 50% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a +14% adjustment (x1.14).
4. Result. 12.0 x 1.14 = 13.7. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.
It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.
Chance to score
Type a point total to see how likely Dalton Schultz is to reach it as a TE1.
Why this percentage?
The projection (13.7) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 9.7 points, leaning on Dalton Schultz's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical TE swings before that).
Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 14.
With only 3 games of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- TE1s have averaged 3.7 receptions, 38.3 receiving yards and 1.0 receiving TDs against the Cowboys across 3 games.
- The Cowboys allow 13.5 PPR points to TE1s, +29% versus the league average of 10.5 (ranked 9 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a favorable matchup.
- Outlier: Week 1, Isaiah Likely (27.8 pts, 8 rec, 78 yds) sits far above the other games and pulls the averages up. Average with it vs without it: pts 13.5 vs 6.4; rec 3.7 vs 1.5; yds 38.3 vs 18.5. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- Outlier: Week 2, Colson Yankoff (2.4 pts, 1 rec, 14 yds) sits far below the other games and drags the averages down. Average with it vs without it: pts 13.5 vs 19.1; rec 3.7 vs 5.0; yds 38.3 vs 50.5. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- 2 of 3 games reached 7+ PPR points. Scores range from 2.4 to 27.8 (median 10.3).
- TE1s scored a touchdown in 2 of 3 games (67%).
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.