Justice Hill
RB
Baltimore Ravens▲ Hot
This is how RBs have played against the Steelers in the 2026 season.
RB2 = the second-highest-scoring RB against Steelers in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.
| Wk | Team | Player | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  ATL | Brian Robinson | 9 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.1 |
| 2 |  NE | Rhamondre Stevenson | 6 | 43 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3.6 |
| 3 |  CIN | Samaje Perine | 3 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2.4 |
| 4 |  CLE | Jaleel McLaughlin | 1 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.8 |
| 5 |  IND | Seth McGowan | 5 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2.9 |
| 6 |  TB | Kenny Gainwell | 2 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 3.4 |
| 7 |  NO | Kendre Miller | 8 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 5.8 |
| 8 | CLE | Quinshon Judkins | 11 | 25 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Average | 5.6 | 21.9 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 4.6 | ||
| Median | 5.5 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.5 | ||
| High | 11 | 43 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 8.8 | ||
| Low | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.4 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How Justice Hill should do vs the SteelersSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Steelers, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game Justice Hill has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Steelers opponents to line them up with: the best RB they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Justice Hill will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Steelers avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Justice Hill's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Justice Hill usually produces.
Projected is Justice Hill's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Steelers were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IND | 6 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 3.8 |
| 2 | NO | 2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 3.8 |
| 3 | DAL | 5 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.3 |
| 4 | TEN | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 4.5 |
| 5 | ATL | 4 | 73 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 9.8 |
| 6 | CLE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 3.9 |
| 7 | CIN | 3 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 0 | 6.3 |
| 8 | BUF | 3 | 15 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 7.5 |
| Hill avg | 3.0 | 19.4 | 0.0 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 5.4 | |
| Steelers RB2 avg | 5.6 | 21.9 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 4.6 | |
| Difference | +2.6 | +2.5 | +0.1 | -1.4 | -1.0 | -5.0 | +0.0 | -0.8 | |
| Projected as RB2 | 2.8 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 12.1 | 0.0 | 5.8 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Hill averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
Start / Sit · Justice HillGood confidence · 5.8 proj pts1/10 start
- Justice Hill averages 5.4 PPR points over 8 games (recent-weighted 6.0) and has played as the team's RB2.
- The Steelers have allowed 4.6 points to RB2s over 8 games (-9% vs league). The model applies 73% of that gap because the sample is small, giving a -7% adjustment.
- Last season's average (7.2) is blended in at 20% weight because this season's sample is small.
- Projection: 5.8 points.
- For reference, a typical weekly starter-level RB scores about 13.1 and a top-tier one about 20.9.
- A statistical model from box scores, Vegas lines, weather and injury tags. It cannot see role changes or in-game events.
Prediction & chance to scoreJustice Hill vs the Steelers
Prediction for Justice Hill
Nobody knows which slot Justice Hill will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Steelers.
I predict about 5.8 points for Justice Hill if playing as a RB2. Justice Hill has averaged 5.4 over 8 games, and the Steelers have given up 4.6 to RB2s (-9% vs the league average of 5.1).
How this projection is built
1. The player. Justice Hill scored: Wk 1 3.8, Wk 2 3.8, Wk 3 3.3, Wk 4 4.5, Wk 5 9.8, Wk 6 3.9, Wk 7 6.3, Wk 8 7.5. Average 5.4; weighted toward recent games it is 6.2.
2. The defense. Over 8 games, the Steelers allowed 4.6 points to their opponent's RB2. The league average for that slot is 5.1, so that is -9%.
3. Trusting small samples less. With 8 defensive games, only 73% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a -7% adjustment (x0.93).
4. Result. 6.2 x 0.93 = 5.8. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.
It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.
Chance to score
Type a point total to see how likely Justice Hill is to reach it as a RB2.
Why this percentage?
The projection (5.8) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 2.3 points, leaning on Justice Hill's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical RB swings before that).
Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 6.
With only 8 games of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- RB2s have averaged 5.6 carries, 21.9 rushing yards and 1.1 receptions against the Steelers across 8 games.
- The Steelers allow 4.6 PPR points to RB2s, -9% versus the league average of 5.1 (ranked 17 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a near-average matchup.
- 0 of 8 games reached 10+ PPR points. Scores range from 2.4 to 8.8 (median 3.5).
- RB2s scored a touchdown in 1 of 8 games (13%).
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.