Gardner Minshew
QB
Arizona Cardinals
- Top target Kendrick Bourne is on IR, which can lower the passing game.
- Top target Michael Wilson is questionable, which can lower the passing game.
A hurt top target or lead back nudges the projection up a little, since their work tends to shift to teammates. QB and offensive-line flags are shown for context but do not change the number.
This is how QBs have played against the Rams in the 2026 season.
| Wk | Team | Player | Cmp | Att | PaYd | PaTD | INT | Car | RuYd | RuTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SF | Brock Purdy | 25 | 34 | 205 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 0 | 21.1 |
| 2 |  NYG | Jameis Winston | 11 | 27 | 111 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2.5 |
| 3 |  DEN | Bo Nix | 17 | 34 | 186 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 24.1 |
| 4 |  PHI | Jalen Hurts | 12 | 27 | 93 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 0 | 13.5 |
| 5 |  BUF | Josh Allen | 12 | 19 | 210 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 121 | 1 | 30.5 |
| Average | 15.4 | 28.2 | 161.0 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 5.2 | 35.2 | 0.4 | 18.4 | ||
| Median | 12.0 | 27.0 | 186.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 21.1 | ||
| High | 25 | 34 | 210 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 121 | 1 | 30.5 | ||
| Low | 11 | 19 | 93 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2.5 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How Gardner Minshew should do vs the RamsSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Rams, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game Gardner Minshew has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Rams opponents to line them up with: the best QB they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Gardner Minshew will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Rams avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Gardner Minshew's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Gardner Minshew usually produces.
Projected is Gardner Minshew's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Rams were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Cmp | Att | PaYd | PaTD | INT | Car | RuYd | RuTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | DAL | 17 | 23 | 188 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19.5 |
| Minshew avg | 17.0 | 23.0 | 188.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.5 | |
| Rams QB1 avg | 15.4 | 28.2 | 161.0 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 5.2 | 35.2 | 0.4 | 18.4 | |
| Difference | -1.6 | +5.2 | -27.0 | -1.4 | +0.8 | +5.2 | +35.2 | +0.4 | -1.2 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Minshew averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- QB1s have averaged 161.0 passing yards, 1.6 passing TDs and 35.2 rushing yards against the Rams across 5 games.
- The Rams allow 18.4 PPR points to QB1s, +9% versus the league average of 16.9 (ranked 13 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a near-average matchup.
- Outlier: Week 5, Josh Allen (30.5 pts) sits far above the other games and pulls the averages up. Average with it vs without it: pts 18.4 vs 15.3. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- Outlier: Week 2, Jameis Winston (2.5 pts) sits far below the other games and drags the averages down. Average with it vs without it: pts 18.4 vs 22.3. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- 3 of 5 games reached 15+ PPR points. Scores range from 2.5 to 30.5 (median 21.1).
- Every QB1 in the sample cleared 80 passing yards.
- QB1s scored a touchdown in 4 of 5 games (80%).
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.