Drake London
WR
Atlanta Falcons
This is how WRs have played against the Ravens in the 2026 season.
WR1 = the highest-scoring WR against Ravens in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.
| Wk | Team | Player | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  IND | Alec Pierce | 6 | 4 | 61 | 0 | 10.1 |
| 2 |  NO | Chris Olave | 10 | 8 | 86 | 1 | 22.6 |
| 3 |  DAL | CeeDee Lamb | 8 | 7 | 112 | 0 | 20.2 |
| 4 |  TEN | Carnell Tate | 12 | 9 | 145 | 0 | 21.5 |
| Average | 9.0 | 7.0 | 101.0 | 0.3 | 18.6 | ||
| Median | 9.0 | 7.5 | 99.0 | 0.0 | 20.9 | ||
| High | 12 | 9 | 145 | 1 | 22.6 | ||
| Low | 6 | 4 | 61 | 0 | 10.1 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How Drake London should do vs the RavensSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Ravens, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game Drake London has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Ravens opponents to line them up with: the best WR they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Drake London will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Ravens avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Drake London's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Drake London usually produces.
Projected is Drake London's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Ravens were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PIT | 4 | 2 | 29 | 0 | 5.5 |
| 2 | CAR | 5 | 4 | 51 | 0 | 8.9 |
| 3 | GB | 10 | 9 | 194 | 0 | 28.4 |
| 4 | NO | 6 | 5 | 96 | 0 | 14.6 |
| 5 | BAL | 11 | 7 | 118 | 0 | 18.8 |
| 6 | CHI | 10 | 4 | 62 | 0 | 12.2 |
| 7 | SF | 10 | 7 | 66 | 1 | 19.6 |
| 8 | TB | 6 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 1.8 |
| London avg | 7.8 | 4.9 | 78.0 | 0.1 | 13.7 | |
| Ravens WR1 avg | 9.0 | 7.0 | 101.0 | 0.3 | 18.6 | |
| Difference | +1.3 | +2.1 | +23.0 | +0.1 | +4.9 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what London averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
Prediction & chance to scoreDrake London vs the Ravens
Prediction for Drake London
Nobody knows which slot Drake London will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Ravens.
I predict about 16.5 points for Drake London if playing as a WR1. Drake London has averaged 14.3 over 4 games, and the Ravens have given up 18.6 to WR1s (+6% vs the league average of 17.5).
How this projection is built
1. The player. Drake London scored: Wk 1 5.5, Wk 2 8.9, Wk 3 28.4, Wk 4 14.6. Average 14.3; weighted toward recent games it is 16.0.
2. The defense. Over 4 games, the Ravens allowed 18.6 points to their opponent's WR1. The league average for that slot is 17.5, so that is +6%.
3. Trusting small samples less. With 4 defensive games, only 57% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a +4% adjustment (x1.04).
4. Result. 16.0 x 1.04 = 16.5. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.
It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.
Chance to score
Type a point total to see how likely Drake London is to reach it as a WR1.
Why this percentage?
The projection (16.5) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 10.0 points, leaning on Drake London's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical WR swings before that).
Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 17.
With only 4 games of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- WR1s have averaged 7.0 receptions, 101.0 receiving yards and 0.3 receiving TDs against the Ravens across 4 games.
- The Ravens allow 18.6 PPR points to WR1s, +6% versus the league average of 17.5 (ranked 12 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a near-average matchup.
- Outlier: Week 4, Carnell Tate (145 yds) sits far above the other games and pulls the averages up. Average with it vs without it: yds 101.0 vs 86.3. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- 4 of 4 games reached 10+ PPR points. Scores range from 10.1 to 22.6 (median 20.9).
- Every WR1 in the sample cleared 60 receiving yards.
- WR1s scored a touchdown in 1 of 4 games (25%).
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.